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原文链接: https://www.brookstradingcourse.com/ask-al/final-steps-trading-profitability/ 生成时间: 2026-08-31 15:06
Many obstacles to trading profitability BPA trading room Q&A: February 16, 2016
影响交易盈利性的诸多障碍——BPA交易室问答：2016年2月16日
Question: What were the final steps which you employed to become profitable?
问题：你最终采取了哪些步骤来实现盈利？
Video duration: 6min 50sec
视频时长：6分50秒
You can also view this video on Al’s YouTube Channel if needed.
如有需要，你也可以在Al的YouTube频道上观看此视频。
Get rich quick trading!
快速致富的交易法！
There were so many steps along the way, right? The single biggest thing was giving up on everybody. Back when I was doing this in the ’80s, there were so many dishonest people out there. It was incredible. Pretty much any ad that you saw, I believe, was put there by a thief, a liar. Even in reputable magazines, all the ads about “get rich quick,” “buy this software,” it was all lies. It was just totally all lies.
一路上有太多步骤了，对吧？最重要的一件事就是放弃所有人。我在80年代做这件事的时候，外面有很多不诚实的人。这太不可思议了。我相信，你看到的几乎所有广告都是由小偷、骗子发布的。即使是在有声望的杂志上，所有关于“快速致富”、“购买这个软件”的广告都是谎言。这完全是谎言。
I grew up trusting people with more experience than me. I was an eye surgeon for years, and in medical school you’re being taught by people who are very reputable, very honorable. That’s true with most professional schools. Law school, business school. It doesn’t take much time to realize that the people are really honorable and they’re really trying to do a good job. They’re trying to be nice people, they’re trying to help you. So I grew up with that kind of experience. College, same thing. The professors were all good people, really interested in helping.
我从小就信任那些比我有更多经验的人。我当了多年的眼科医生，在医学院，你是由非常有声望、非常正直的人教导的。这在大多数专业学校都是如此。法学院、商学院。不需要花太多时间就能意识到，这些人真的很正直，他们真的在努力做好工作。他们试图成为好人，试图帮助你。所以我从小就有这样的经历。大学也一样。教授们都是好人，真的很想帮助学生。
And then you enter the trading world, especially in the ’80s when I did. I immediately assumed that all the people out there are honorable like university professors, medical school professors, business school, and law school professors. But they’re not! They were all out there trying to steal money from people who didn’t know any better, by selling products that they make claims about and they charge a lot of money for their products.
然后你进入交易世界，尤其是在我进入的80年代。我立刻假设所有人都像大学教授、医学院教授、商学院教授和法学院教授一样正直。但他们不是！他们都在试图从那些不懂行的人那里偷钱，通过销售他们声称的产品，并收取高额的产品费用。
Specialist indicator trading scams
专业指标交易骗局
I remember once, maybe it was ’87, ’88, there was some company out there I paid $3,000 for their special software that they guaranteed all kinds of great returns. Every day, they would send me the latest update of the input into their indicators . I don’t remember the name of the company, but I think eventually, the SCC sued them, put them out of business. I don’t know if they were arrested or put in jail, but the SCC ultimately decided that the firm was a lie.
我记得有一次，可能是87年或88年，有家公司向我推销了一款特别软件，我为此支付了3000美元，他们保证这款软件能带来各种丰厚的回报。每天，他们都会给我发送最新的指标输入更新。我不记得那家公司的名字了，但我想最终SCC起诉了他们，让他们倒闭了。我不知道他们是否被逮捕或入狱，但SCC最终认定该公司在撒谎。
And it was a lie. Every day they would optimize indicators based upon today’s price action, so if you used those indicators on what took place today, you would’ve made a lot of money. But you didn’t have those indicators at the start of the day; you got them at the end of the day. So every day at the end of the day, they’d say “If you used these numbers today, you would’ve made $10,000. Here, you can use the numbers tomorrow.”
这确实是个谎言。他们每天都会根据当天的价格行为优化指标，所以如果你在当天使用这些指标，你会赚很多钱。但你在当天开始时并没有这些指标，你是在当天结束时才获得它们的。所以每天收盘后，他们都会说：“如果你今天使用这些数字，你会赚1万美元。来吧，你明天可以使用这些数字。”
And guess what? The numbers don’t work tomorrow. They worked today because they were generated, they were curve fitted based upon today’s price action. And they were doing that every day. At the end of the day, they would come up with the numbers that would have worked best on the day, and then they would make the claim that had you used those numbers, you would’ve used a fortune today.
猜猜怎么着？这些数字明天就不管用了。它们今天有效，是因为它们是根据今天的价格行为生成的，是曲线拟合的结果。他们每天都在做这样的事。收盘后，他们会得出当天表现最佳的数字，然后声称如果你使用了这些数字，你今天就会赚一大笔钱。
However, they were fitted to the market to maximize profit in hindsight, after you’d already seen the day. There’s no reason to believe that those numbers are going to work tomorrow. However, they would produce these track records based upon generating the numbers after they see the chart, and they were coming up with all kinds of incredibly great results. But that was the result.
然而，这些数字是事后根据市场情况拟合的，目的是为了在你已经看到当天行情后最大化利润。没有理由相信这些数字明天会有效。然而，他们会根据看到图表后生成的数字来制作这些交易记录，并得出各种令人难以置信的优秀结果。但这就是结果。
Hiring a tutor (mentor)
聘请导师
I hired a tutor once, close to 30 years ago, and I paid him I don’t know how much, $3,000 or $5,000. He’s still out there today; I’ve seen him at conferences. I pressed him on a lot of things. I think I lost $3,000 when he was in my house trading. I pressed him on a lot of things, and ultimately he told me that he does not trade, but that he has people who trade his system, and trade his money for him. I couldn’t believe it. The guy is out there claiming to be a great trader, and doesn’t even trade.
大约30年前，我曾聘请过一位导师，我付给他多少钱我不记得了，可能是3000美元或5000美元。他现在还在外面活动，我在会议上见过他。我就很多事情向他施压。我想我在他来我家交易时损失了3000美元。我就很多事情向他施压，最终他告诉我，他不交易，但他有人在使用他的系统交易，为他管理资金。我简直不敢相信。这个人声称自己是一个伟大的交易者，却根本不交易。
I spent a lot of money in the early ’90s and the late ’80s hiring experts and going to conferences, and at the end, I concluded that it was all nonsense and the people were just dishonest people. They were just trying to take money from people who didn’t know any better. At the time, the law did not protect people as well as it does today. So it was very easy for dishonest people to steal money from people who didn’t know any better, people who were just trying to figure it out.
我在90年代初和80年代末花了很多钱聘请专家和参加会议，最后我得出结论，这一切都是胡说八道，那些人只是不诚实的人。他们只是想从那些不懂行的人那里骗钱。那时，法律对人们的保护没有现在这么好。所以，不诚实的人很容易从那些不懂行、只是想搞清楚情况的人那里偷钱。
Figure out what market is doing
搞清楚市场在做什么
Anyway, after 10 years of it, I decided that, as trusting as I had been all my life of elders and people who I thought were out there to help me, I decided that the people are all liars, and they’re thieves, and dishonest people. Everything I was reading in magazines, and books, and ads, and seeing at conferences, was just all nonsense. Yes, pretty colors and pretty charts and pretty graphics and everything, but it’s all nonsense. It has nothing to do with making money.
总之，经过10年的经历，我决定，尽管我一生都信任长辈和那些我认为会帮助我的人，但我还是认为这些人都是骗子、小偷和不诚实的人。我在杂志、书籍、广告和会议上看到的一切，都是胡说八道。是的，有漂亮的颜色、漂亮的图表和漂亮的图形，但这一切都是胡说八道。这与赚钱无关。
So I got rid of all of it and I just decided to print out charts every day and try to understand. If the market has a bear bar, why does it have a bear bar? If it has a bull bar, why does it have a bull bar? If it has three bull bars, why does it have three bull bars? I just decided to try to figure out what the market was doing.
所以我把所有这些都抛弃了，我只是决定每天打印出图表，试图去理解。如果市场出现一根阴线，为什么会出现阴线？如果出现一根阳线，为什么会出现阳线？如果出现三根阳线，为什么会出现三根阳线？我只是决定尝试搞清楚市场在做什么。
Focus on why you lose, and why you win
专注于你为什么亏损，以及你为什么盈利
It didn’t take long to figure it out, because at times when I would lose money, I started to see that there were clear things that were happening that caused me to lose, like buying at the top of a trading range, selling at the bottom of a trading range, taking tops in strong bull breakouts, selling in this [B20-B30], buying this [B3], betting on regression to the mean, and that the breakout would fail. It did not take long for me to begin to see what signs of strength really are, and how important they are.
我很快就搞清楚了，因为有时当我亏损时，我开始看到有一些明显的事情发生了，导致我亏损，比如在交易区间顶部买入，在交易区间底部卖出，在强劲的多头突破中买入高点，在[B20-B30]卖出，买入[B3]，押注均值回归，以及突破会失败。我很快就开始看到强势的真正迹象是什么，以及它们的重要性。
So if the market is going up and it looks pretty strong, I can only buy. If it’s going down and it looks pretty strong, I can only sell. You do it long enough, you look at a chart that you print out at the end of the day, and there’s something in the chart that you’ll see that the probability was high that you’d make money. So if you print this chart out, you’d see somewhere in here [B22 up], if I bought this reversal up that’s a lot of bars up, I’m going to make money. That’s all you have to see. You just need to buy somewhere in here [B20-B30], stop below there [B20], and you’ll probably make a measured move up.
所以，如果市场上涨且看起来很强劲，我只能买入。如果它下跌且看起来很强劲，我只能卖出。你做得足够久，你看看你在当天结束时打印出的图表，你会在图表中看到一些东西，那就是你赚钱的概率很高。所以，如果你打印出这张图表，你会在这里[B22上]看到，如果我买入这个反转上涨，那是很多K线的上涨，我就会赚钱。这就是你需要看到的全部。你只需要在这里[B20-B30]买入，止损设在下面[B20]，你可能会实现一个等距上涨。
Let’s say you decide somewhere in here [B29] that you’d make money. Let’s say you bought somewhere in here. At the point that you decide that you’ll probably make money, so probably when it’s 60%, your risk is here [below B20]. At that moment, you probably are going to make about the same amount that you’re risking to take the trade. So you’re probably going to get a measured move up from the place where you finally decided, yeah, the probability is high for the bulls.
假设你决定在这个位置 [B29] 附近获利。假设你在这个位置附近买入。当你决定自己可能会获利时，比如概率达到60%时，你的风险就在这里 [B20下方]。在那一刻，你可能获得的收益与你为入场交易所承担的风险差不多。所以，你很可能从你最终决定“多头概率很高”的那个位置开始，获得一个等距上涨。
And you can do that with pretty much any day. You can look at any day, and something’s going to happen that makes you think the market is going to do something. Something is going to happen that makes you think there’s going to be follow-through and probably a measured move.
你几乎可以在任何一天这样做。你可以看看任何一天，都会发生一些事情，让你认为市场会有所动作。会发生一些事情，让你认为会有后续跟进，并且很可能出现等距运动。
Al Brooks
阿尔·布鲁克斯
Information on Al’s Online day trading room
关于阿尔在线日间交易室的信息