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原文链接: https://www.brookstradingcourse.com/ask-al/handling-losing-trade/ 生成时间: 2026-09-04 14:26
Losing trade — managing a short BPA trading room Q&A: February 10, 2016
亏损交易——管理空头BPA交易室问答:2016年2月10日
Question: I shorted the 7 high on bar 10, betting that the rally would end up as a wedge top. I shorted more around the 12 high, Ok, and I was stopped out at near the top of 13. Can you explain how you would have managed my trade better if you were in the position? Video duration: 2min 41sec
问题:我在10号K线的7高点做空,押注此次上冲将以楔形顶部结束。我在12高点附近又加了仓,好吧,我在13号K线顶部附近被止损。如果你处于我的位置,你会怎样更好地管理这次交易?视频时长:2分41秒
You can also view this video on Al’s YouTube Channel if needed.
你也可以在需要时在 Al 的 YouTube 频道上观看这个视频。
Look for measuring gaps
寻找等距缺口。
So he sold above 7 betting on a wedge 1, 7, and maybe 12 or 13, and here’s the problem with selling the 12 high. I don’t know if you can see it. I’ll go back here, maybe it will be more obvious. It’s the same thing with buying anywhere down here — there’s a gap — 72 high, 65 low. Here, there’s a gap, 12 low and 7 high. I mentioned that as it started to turn up. Then I said it might result in a measured move up. So if I sold above 7, I am not going to sell more above 12 because at that point we would have had a potential measuring gap here. And why sell at the 12 high when I’m probably going to be able to sell higher.
他在7点以上做空,押注这是一个楔形(可能涉及7、12或13)。在12高点做空这里有问题——我不确定你能否看见。我往回看,或许会更明显。就像在此处买入一样——存在一个缺口,72高点、65低点。这里也有缺口,12低点和7高点。我之前提到,当价格开始转上时,这可能演变为等距上行。因此,如果我在7点以上做空,我不会在12点以上再做空,因为那时我们可能已经出现了潜在的测量缺口。再说,既然我大概率能在更高位置做空,为什么要在12高点做空呢?
I don’t know if the measuring gap is going to be from the 1 low or from the 3 low, but I think there’s going to be some kind of a measured move up based upon this gap 12 low and 7 low. So in a situation like that, if I sell the 7 high on bar 10 and — who knows, I sell more — let’s say I sell the 11 close, which I would not, but let’s say I did. As soon as the market tested down 12 and started to turn up, I’m going to buy back my shorts above 12. And guess what? That’s why 13 looks like that because as soon as traders saw that gap below 12 and above 7, they decided it was going higher, so everybody bought back their shorts on 13, and that’s why 13 is a big bull bar.
我不知道这个等距缺口是从1号低点开始,还是从3号低点开始,但我认为会出现某种基于12号K线低点和7号K线低点的向上等距运动。所以在这种情况下,如果我在10号K线卖出7号高点,然后——谁知道呢,我可能卖出更多——假设我卖出11号K线的收盘价,虽然我不会这么做,但假设我这么做了。一旦市场测试到12号低点并开始反弹,我会在12号上方回补我的空头头寸。你猜怎么着?这就是为什么13号K线看起来像那样,因为当交易者看到12号下方和7号上方的缺口时,他们判断价格会走高,所以每个人都在13号K线回补了他们的空头头寸,这就是为什么13号K线是一根大阳线。
Possible measured move up
可能出现等距上涨
When 13 formed — when 13 closed, I talked about the possibility of an exhaustion gap compared to a measuring gap. So if anything, I would be thinking about shorting around 13 or below 14, or over the next several bars if we start to trade down. But to me, everyone got out on 13 and that’s the place to get out, so I would not be selling more at the 12 high because we have a gap and it’s probably going to result in a measured move.
当13号K线形成并收盘时,我提到过这可能是一个衰竭缺口,而不是一个等距缺口。所以,如果有任何机会,我会考虑在13号K线附近或14号K线下方做空,或者如果接下来几根K线开始下跌,我也会考虑做空。但对我来说,所有人都已经在13号K线出局了,那就是应该离场的点位,所以我不会在12号K线的高点继续卖出,因为我们有个缺口,这很可能导致一个等距运动。
A lot of that stuff, you have so little time to decide. 13 went up very, very quickly. But if you were aware of what 12 was doing, possibly creating a measuring gap with 7, you would be much better prepared to get out quickly by 12. And if you’re flat, you can quickly buy above 12, expecting the market to go up for some kind of a measured move.
这些事情发生得很快,你几乎没有时间思考。13号K线上涨非常迅速。但如果你意识到12号K线的表现——可能正在与7形成测量缺口——你就会做好更快在12离场的准备。如果你目前持仓为空(空仓),你可以在12点以上快速买入,期待市场出现某种等距上行。
Al Brooks
我是 Al Brooks,全球顶尖的价格行为(PA)交易教育者。
在交易中,我们要关注市场的价格行为,识别多头和空头的动态。阳线和阴线是我们判断市场情绪的重要工具。回撤和突破是常见的价格行为模式,而突破回撤则需要我们特别关注,因为它可能预示着突破失败。
交易区间和窄幅交易区间是市场横盘整理的区域,而趋势则是价格持续上涨或下跌的方向。开盘趋势是我们判断当日走势的重要依据。信号K线和入场K线是我们入场交易的关键点。
内包线和外包线、十字线等K线形态,以及后续跟进和推进段,都是我们分析市场走势的重要工具。波段交易和短线交易是不同的交易策略,而始终持多或始终持空则是一种长期的交易策略。
等距运动、更高的低点、更低的高点、更高的高点和更低的低点,这些都是我们判断趋势强弱和反转的重要指标。均线、K线、楔形、通道、宽通道、头肩形态、双顶/双底、主要趋势反转、高潮(衰竭)、缺口等技术形态,都是我们分析市场走势的工具。
迷你标普(ES)和微型迷你是常见的交易品种。止损和目标位是我们控制风险和锁定利润的重要手段。风险回报比是我们评估交易机会的重要指标。加仓(分批建仓)是我们管理仓位的策略。限价单和停损单是我们执行交易指令的工具。
机构是市场的重要参与者,他们的行为会影响市场走势。概率和优势(edge)是我们评估交易机会的重要因素。在交易中,我们要保持直接、实用、简洁的思维方式,就像在交易室里对学生讲话一样,不绕弯子。
Information on Al’s Online day trading room
关于Al的在线日交易室的信息