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原文链接: https://www.brookstradingcourse.com/ask-al/make-money-following-al-brooks/ 生成时间: 2026-09-04 14:14
Make a living following Al’s trade suggestions? BPA trading room Q&A: February 29, 2016
靠跟随Al的交易建议谋生?BPA交易室问答:2016年2月29日
Question: I’m still struggling to make money. If I just follow your trade suggestions, will I be able to make a living until I get good? Video duration: 11min 15sec
问题:我仍然在挣扎着赚钱。如果我只是跟着你的交易建议操作,在我变得熟练之前,我能靠这个谋生吗? 视频时长:11分15秒
You can also view this video on Al’s YouTube Channel if needed.
如有需要,也可以在Al的YouTube频道观看此视频。
Do not follow anyone
不要盲目跟随他人。
I would strongly recommend not listening to me or not listening to anyone. I think that’s a really costly mistake because, unless — at some point once I finish all the course and all the other projects I’ve got going on, I probably will talk more — you heard me say 14 is probably a swing buy, good for at least four points, stuff like that. That’s okay because it’s clear: You buy above 14, you put a stop below 14, and you place a limit order to get out four points higher. So that’s pretty good.
我强烈建议你们不要听我的,也不要听任何人的。我认为这是一个非常昂贵的错误,因为——除非有一天我完成了所有课程和正在进行的其他项目,我可能会说得更多——你听我说过,14号可能是波段买入点,至少能赚4个点之类的话。这没问题,因为很明确:你在14号上方买入,在14号下方设置止损,然后设置一个限价单,在4个点上方离场。所以这还不错。
But a lot of times, I’m just taking little scalps all day long — selling above 32; selling above 37. Through here I did several little trades in here. And I’m not telling you all the details. I’m not saying, “Oh, I’m putting a stop here and I’m not going to let the stop get hit. I’m going to scale in in this particular case.” I’m not saying any of that.
但很多时候,我整天都在做一些小短线交易——在32上方卖出;在37上方卖出。在这个区域,我做了几笔小交易。我不会告诉你所有的细节。我不会说:“哦,我在这里设置止损,我不会让止损被触发。在这种特定情况下,我会分批加仓。”我不会说这些。
Wasting money
浪费金钱。
I remember years ago — I forget the name of the company; maybe it was Essex Trading — I paid them $3,000 for formulas. I used to subscribe to all kinds of guru newsletters and hotlines, and a lot of it is just a total waste of money, right?
我记得很多年前——我忘了那家公司的名字了,可能是 Essex Trading——我为他们的公式支付了 3000 美元。我以前订阅过各种大师的通讯和热线,但其中很多都是完全浪费钱,对吧?
If you see some clown on television saying, “Gold is going up,” or “Crude oil is going down,” or “The stock market is going up,” you cannot make money off of that because you hear me say this pretty regularly: About 10 percent of the time you can only make money buying or only make money selling. 90 percent of the time, you can buy or sell at any point and make money, if you manage your trade correctly. So 10 percent of the bars on the chart, the market’s doing this, you can only make money if you sell. But 90 percent of the bars on the chart the market’s doing this and you can make money buying or selling at any time.
如果你看到电视上某个小丑说「黄金会上涨」,或「原油会下跌」,或「股市会上涨」,你是无法从中赚钱的,因为你经常听到我说:大约10%的时间里,你只能通过买入或卖出才能赚钱。90%的时间里,只要你正确管理交易,你可以在任何点位买入或卖出并赚钱。所以,图表上10%的K线中,市场表现是这样的,你只能通过卖出才能赚钱。但在图表上90%的K线中,市场表现是这样的,你可以在任何时候通过买入或卖出赚钱。
You know, today we had pretty good swings here and here, so maybe more than 10 percent is breakout. On a typical day, it’s like this — you can buy at any point; you can sell at any point if you use a wide enough stop, and scale in and manage your trade correctly.
你知道,今天我们在这里和这里有很好的波段,所以可能超过10%的行情是突破行情。在典型的交易日里,情况是这样的——如果你使用足够宽的止损,并分批建仓和正确管理交易,你可以在任何点位买入或卖出。
Teach a man to fish (trade)
授人以渔(交易)
So, I would not worry too much about what I say or about what anybody else says. You sometimes hear the adage, “You teach a man to fish. You don’t give him a fish,” and that’s true with trading, right? Until you’re completely comfortable taking full responsibility, it’s really hard to make a living. And everyone — especially if you’re starting out and your account is not big, it’s easier to say, “Oh my gosh, I am really desperate. I got to make money doing this. It took me so much time to save up this money. I don’t want to lose my other job while I start this job”. There’s just a lot of personal issues involved, and I can tell you that I believe it’s extremely difficult to make money, if you have to make money.
所以,我不会过分担心我说的话或别人说的话。你有时会听到这句谚语:「授人以渔,而不是授人以鱼」,这在交易中也是如此,对吧?除非你完全愿意承担全部责任,否则很难靠交易谋生。每个人——尤其是如果你刚开始,账户不大,更容易说:「天哪,我真的很绝望。我必须通过这个赚钱。我花了很多时间才存下这笔钱。我不想在开始这个工作时失去我原来的工作」。这里涉及很多个人问题,我可以告诉你,如果你必须赚钱,我认为赚钱是极其困难的。
Desperate to make money
急于赚钱
If you’re really desperate to make money, it’s really hard to make money because you’re going to be miserable. You’re going to make mistakes, and you’re going be only worried about risk, and there are three variables — risk, reward, and probability . A person who’s desperate to make money only sees one variable: Risk. “I can’t afford to lose,” right? One point, two points, “I — I got to get out,” right? Even though the market might call for a stop that’s five points above. So you sell the 58 close and you say, “I can only risk a point or two,” and then it starts to go up here and you get out, right? If you take – if you’re selling the 58 close, your stop is up there, period. That’s it, right? If you’re buying the 17 close, your stop may be down here. I think more around here. So that’s it; so if you take that trade, that’s where your stop is.
如果你真的急于赚钱,赚钱就会变得非常困难,因为你会感到痛苦。你会犯错误,你只会担心风险,而风险、回报和概率是三个变量。一个急于赚钱的人只看到一个变量:风险。「我承受不起损失」,对吧?一两个点,「我——我得退出」,对吧?即使市场可能要求止损点在五点以上。所以你在58收盘价卖出,并说「我只能承受一两点的风险」,然后它开始上涨,你就退出,对吧?如果你在58收盘价卖出,你的止损点就在那里,就这样。如果你在17收盘价买入,你的止损点可能在这里。我认为更可能在这里。所以,如果你进行这笔交易,你的止损点就在那里。
Thinking risk only
只考虑风险
And if a person’s only thinking about risk, they’re saying, “Well, I know that’s where Al says that’s where the stop goes, but maybe I’ll buy the 17 close and take a chance that it will just go straight up and I’ll put a one-point stop in.” Then you get stopped on 18, and you lost money buying. You made a really smart trade; you know, you bought the market that’s probably going up, but you managed it wrong because all you saw was risk and you did not want to lose more than a point.
如果一个人只考虑风险,他可能会说:‘嗯,我知道Al说止损应该放在那里,但也许我会在17号K线收盘价买入,赌一把它会直接上涨,然后放置一个一点的止损。’ 于是在18号K线被止损,买入亏损。你看,你做了一个非常精明的交易——你买入了很可能上涨的市场,但管理失误,因为你只看到风险,不愿亏损超过一点。
Talking costs money
说话要花钱
But going back to your question. I think it’s really impossible to make money listening to somebody else unless they’re saying every little thing that they’re doing. And I — I can’t do it because I take so many trades during the day, and if I’m talking as I’m trying to make a decision about “Do I move the stop here? Do I get out there? Do I just get out with just two ticks? Do I try to hold for two points?” you know, I cannot do both. It will cost me too much money.
再说回你的问题。我认为,除非对方把他们做的每一件小事都说出来,否则仅凭听别人的话几乎不可能赚钱。而我——我做不到,因为我一天会进行很多交易,如果我在说话的同时还要决定‘我是在这里移动止损?还是在那儿离场?还是只离场赚两个tick?还是试图持有两个点?’你知道,我无法同时做到这两点。这样做会让我损失太多钱。
Sometimes, you get bars like 14 or even 27 that, you can just say, you buy above 14, stop above low 14, and hold for 4 points. Or you sell below 27, stop above 27, and you get out at the 24 or 25 low. Those things you can say because you said the whole package; you said where the stop is, you said where the limit order is, you said where the entry is. But most of the trades I take during the day, that’s not what I’m trying to do; I’m trying to get out with one point or two points.
有时候,你会遇到像14号K线甚至27号K线这样的情况,你可以直接说:在14号K线上方买入,止损设在14号K线的低点上方,持有4个点。或者在27号K线下方卖出,止损设在27号K线上方,然后在24号或25号K线的低点离场。你可以这样说,因为你说了完整的交易计划;你说了止损在哪里,限价单在哪里,入场点在哪里。但我白天做的多数交易并不是这样;我试图获利一两个点就离场。
Small risk, big reward
小风险,大回报
Sometimes I’ll take finesse trades where there’s some unusual situation where the risk is really not all that big and the reward is big. Or the actual risk is not big, the initial risk is big. I’m using a wide stop, but I’m never going to let the stop be hit. In terms of actual risk, the actual risk is small and the reward is big. So I don’t know. I hope I’m answering your question, but I really think looking for a God or savior to protect you, so that you don’t lose money is not going do it. That’s not what you need. What you need is practice and you got to get a lot of trades under your belt before you start feeling comfortable that you can do this. And depending on someone else to hold your hand as you do it, that’s just not going to work.
有时候我会做一些精细化的交易,在这些交易中存在一些特殊情况,风险其实并不大,但回报却很大。或者说,实际风险并不大,但初始风险很大。我使用宽止损,但我绝不会让止损被触发。就实际风险而言,实际风险很小,而回报很大。所以我不知道。我希望我回答了你的问题,但我真的认为寻找一个上帝或救世主来保护你,让你不亏钱,是行不通的。这不是你需要的。你需要的是练习,在你开始感到自己能做到之前,你必须完成大量的交易。而依赖别人来牵着你的手去做这件事,那是行不通的。
Not just about setups
不仅仅是关于布局
I remember I once hired a tutor. The guy, I still see him out there, every now and then, at the shows. I think he’s a total fraud, but he’s still out there and 25 years ago I paid him, like, $3,000 to come in for the day. And I lost $3,000 with him sitting by my side that day. So I paid him $3,000, I lost $3,000. And I started pressing him, “You’re here with me. You’re not trading. How many days do you go out and teach? How many days do you trade?” Anyway, what it came down to was he says he never trades, and so here he is teaching people how to trade and he’s not a trader. The guy, he was a fraud. The guy’s a fraud. He’s not in the game. I was desperate, willing to pay anything to get somebody to show me how to do it. But even if he showed me one or two things that day, that still would not have been enough because those two things would not be there tomorrow, or the next day, or the next day. There’s a lot more to a trade than just setups.
我记得我曾经请过一位导师。这个人,我现在偶尔还能在展会上看到他。我觉得他完全是个骗子,但25年前我付给他3000美元让他来指导我一整天。那天,在他坐在我旁边的情况下,我损失了3000美元。所以我付给他3000美元,结果却损失了3000美元。我开始质问他:“你和我在一起,却没有交易。你有多少天是出去教课的?你有多少天是交易的?”总之,他最后说他从不交易,所以他教别人如何交易,但他自己却不是交易员。这个人,他就是个骗子。他不是个骗子,他根本就不参与这个游戏。我当时很绝望,愿意付出任何代价让有人教我如何做。但即使他那天教了我一两件事,那也还是不够的,因为那两件事明天、后天或大后天可能就不适用了。交易远不止是设置好策略那么简单,还有更多东西需要考虑。
Use correct stop and targets
使用正确的止损和目标位
In fact, you hear me regularly say — I’ve already said it a few minutes ago: most of the time, if you use a correct stop and a profit target, you can make money buying or selling. It’s obvious when the market is like this, right? You can buy or sell. You can buy below anything, sell above anything, and just keep scalping. But most of the time you can do that so you don’t need someone to say, “Oh Al, buy this,” or “Al, Al, sell that.” And the stops are always obvious as well, right? So if you’re buying anywhere in here, your stop is down here. If you’re selling anywhere in here, your stop is up there. After this breakout, if you’re selling anywhere below here, your stop is up here.
事实上,我经常会这么说——我几分钟前已经说了:大多数时候,只要你使用正确的止损和盈利目标,买入或卖入都能赚钱。当市场是这样的时候,这很显然,对吧?你可以在任何地方买入或卖出,低价买入,高价卖出,就这样持续剥头皮。但大多数时候你可以这样做,这就意味着你不需要有人对你说‘哦,Al,买这个’,或者‘Al,Al,卖那个’。止损也是很明显的,对吧?所以如果你在这个区域内任何地方买入,你的止损应该放在这里下方;如果你在这个区域内任何地方卖出,止损应该放在这里上方。在此次突破之后,如果你在这个区域下方任何地方卖出,你的止损应该放在这里上方。
Starting out
开始吧
So, any person starting out, they know where the stop is For the most part if the market’s trending, they see it’s going up and they know where the stop is, right? So when you buy, you put your stop, and then you wait until it’s not going up anymore here. Here, you know it’s going down, so you sell for any reason at any time. You put your stop up here, and buy back when it’s no longer going up — maybe above 60, maybe more likely above 71.
所以,任何一个新手都知道止损点在哪里。如果市场处于趋势中,他们看到价格上涨,也知道止损点在哪里,对吧?所以当你买入时,你设置止损,然后等待价格不再上涨。这里,你知道价格会下跌,所以你可以在任何时候、任何原因卖出。你把止损点设置在这里,当价格不再上涨时再买回——可能在60上方,更可能在71上方。
But that’s pretty much the simplistic view of the trade, right, and not worry that somebody’s going to show me, tell me, “Al, move my stop. Al, move your profit target.” When you look at the chart, you know where the stop is, right? Now, if the market’s going up, you know you have to buy. If the market’s going down, you know you have to sell, and you know where the stop is. And if you’re going to take the trade, that’s what you do. When the market’s going up, you just buy and you put your stop there and just hold on.
但这基本上是对交易的简单看法,对吧?不用担心有人会对我说:“Al,移动你的止损。Al,移动你的获利目标。”当你看图表时,你知道止损在哪里,对吧?现在,如果市场上涨,你知道你必须买入。如果市场下跌,你知道你必须卖出,而且你知道止损在哪里。如果你要进行交易,那就是你要做的。当市场上涨时,你只需买入,把止损放在那里,然后坚持住。
Scaling in
加仓(分批建仓)
It’s much better if you can scale in, so you buy and you scale in lower, right, if it goes down, that’s good. I would not buy up here. I think there’s too much risk of that being the end. Here, we’re probably going down. We stop at that high. Theoretically, if you sold anywhere down here — let’s say you did not get out above 12, which you should have, right, your stop is up here and you look to scale in as soon as you get a bear bar to sell more.
如果能够加仓那就好得多,也就是买入并在此之下加仓,如果价格下跌那就很好。我不建议在这里买入。我认为这里结束的风险太大。这里,价格很可能会下跌。我们在此高点止损。理论上,如果你在此处任何位置卖出——比方说你没有在12以上平仓(你应该的,对吧),你的止损在这里,并且你会在出现一根阴线时立刻加仓卖出更多。
Trading up through here and you’re buying. This is an example of one of those Buy The Close bars, and you get disappointed You got to get out here. But if you sell on the way down, sell here, sell there, right? Stop goes up here, and you just hold on until it’s no longer going down. Get out above 62, maybe get out above 60? – excuse me, 63 – above 64, 66.
从这里向上交易,你就是在买入。这就是一个“收盘买入”K线的例子,但你会感到失望,你必须在这里出场。但如果你在下跌过程中卖出,在这里卖出,在那里卖出,对吧?止损上移到这里,然后你只要坚持持有,直到它不再下跌。在62上方出场,或者在60上方出场?——抱歉,是63——在64、66上方出场。
Trading is easy, really!
交易其实很简单!
Trading is really not that complicated and I think traders learn — if you just listen to me during the day, I’m telling you the stop goes here, and you say, “Well, I don’t want to risk that much.” Well, don’t take the trade, but if you’re going to take the trade, that’s where the stop goes. And if at the end of the day you sit down and listen to what I’m saying, you’ll say, “Hey, wait a minute, what Al said made sense. You know, if I did buy there and if I did put that stop there or if I did sell there and I did put that stop there, I would have made money.” I have to risk more than I wanted to risk, but I would have made money. So if you can trade small enough, you can do it. It’s much easier to make money if you can trade small, and use the correct stops, and not worry about losing.
交易其实并不复杂,我觉得交易者学习——如果你白天只听我的话,我会告诉你止损应该放在这里,而你会说,‘嗯,我不想冒这么大的风险。’好吧,那就不要进场,但如果你决定进场,那就把止损放在这里。如果到了当天结束时你坐下来听我说的话,你会说,‘嘿,等等,Al说的其实是有道理的。你知道,如果我当时在那儿买入并且把止损放在那里,或者如果我在那儿卖出并且把止损放在那里,我就会赚钱。’我不得不承担比我想要的更大的风险,但我就会赚钱。所以如果你能够做小仓位交易,你就可以做到。如果你能做小额交易,使用正确的止损,并且不担心亏损,赚钱就会容易得多。
End of day review
日终复盘
Anyway, I’m talking too much and I’m losing my voice. Okay, I hope everybody has a good night. This is I think an exhaustive sell climax. This is huge. I think, even though on the daily chart today is a pretty good entry bar for the bears, I still think it’s going to be a two or three-day pullback, and that in March, in the first week or two, we’ll get above here. But I think there’ll be sellers up there. A lot of bulls are looking at this and they’re selling, but some of those bulls are using stops way, way up here thinking that we may go up a little higher. I still think the odds are we’re going to go above Friday’s high. But I would not be surprised if we did not, but I still think we’ll get one more push up. And that will probably be it, maybe a wedge, bear flag, one push, two pushes, pullback, and then three pushes. Two or three weeks from now, and that will probably be it.
话说太多,我快失声了。好,我希望大家都有一个好晚安。我认为这是一个彻底的卖出高潮。这非常大。尽管今天在日线图上这是一个相当好的空头入场K线,我仍然认为这将是一次两到三天的回撤,并且在三月的第一或第二周,我们会重新上升到这里之上。但我认为在那上面会有卖方。很多多头在关注这一点并在卖出,但其中一些多头把止损放得非常非常高,以为我们可能还会再升高一点。我仍然认为概率是我们会突破周五的高点。即使我们没有做到我也不会惊讶,但我仍然认为我们会再有一次向上的推动。那可能就是结束了,也许是一个楔形、熊旗、一次推动、两次推动、回撤,然后是三次推动。两到三周后,可能就这样结束了。
Okay, hope everybody has a good night.
好了,希望大家都有一个美好的夜晚。
Al Brooks
我叫 Al Brooks,是全球领先的价格行为(PA)交易教育者。
在交易中,我们经常会遇到多头和空头(Bull / Bear)的博弈。当市场出现阳线(Bull Bar)时,通常表示多头占优;而阴线(Bear Bar)则表明空头占主导地位。回撤(Pullback)是价格在趋势中短暂反向运动的现象,而突破(Breakout)则是指价格突破关键支撑或阻力位。突破回撤(Breakout Pullback)是指价格在突破后回撤到突破点附近,而突破失败(Failed Breakout)则是指价格未能持续突破。
交易区间(Trading Range)是指价格在一定范围内波动,而窄幅交易区间(Tight Trading Range)则是指价格波动幅度较小的区间。趋势(Trend)是指价格持续上涨或下跌的方向,开盘趋势(Trend from the Open)则是指从开盘价开始的趋势。信号K线(Signal Bar)是指提供入场信号的K线,而入场K线(Entry Bar)则是指实际入场的K线。
内包线(Inside Bar)和外包线(Outside Bar)是K线组合的一种,十字线(Doji)则是指开盘价和收盘价相同的K线。后续跟进(Follow-through)是指价格在突破后持续上涨或下跌,而腿(Leg)则是指趋势中的推进段。波段(Swing)是指价格在一定时间内的波动,而剥头皮(Scalp)则是指短线交易。
始终持多(Always In Long)或始终持空(Always In Short)是指持续持有多头或空头头寸。等距运动(Measured Move)是指价格在突破后上涨或下跌的幅度与之前波动幅度相等的现象。更高的低点(Higher Low)和更低的高点(Lower High)是指价格在趋势中形成的低点和髙点,而更高的高点(Higher High)和更低的低点(Lower Low)则是指价格在趋势中持续上涨或下跌。
均线(Moving Average)是指价格的平均值,K线(Bar)则是指价格在一定时间内的波动。楔形(Wedge)和通道(Channel)是价格走势的一种形态,宽通道(Broad Channel)则是指价格波动幅度较大的通道。头肩形态(Head and Shoulders)和双顶/双底(Double Top / Bottom)是价格走势的经典形态,主要趋势反转(Major Trend Reversal)则是指趋势的重大转变。
高潮(Climax)是指价格在趋势末期出现的衰竭现象,缺口(Gap)则是指价格在开盘时出现的跳空。迷你标普(Emini / E-mini,ES)和微型迷你(Micro Emini)是常见的交易品种。止损(Stop)是指设置的损失限制,目标位(Target)则是指预期的盈利目标。风险回报比(Risk/Reward)是指交易的风险与回报的比例,加仓(Scaling In)则是指分批建仓。
限价单(Limit Order)和停损单(Stop Order)是常见的交易指令,机构(Institution)则是指大型金融机构。概率(Probability)是指事件发生的可能性,优势(Edge)则是指交易中的有利条件。
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