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原文链接: https://www.brookstradingcourse.com/ask-al/psychologically-incapable-trading/ 生成时间: 2026-08-31 15:07
Psychologically unfit to trade? BPA trading room Q&A: April 5, 2016
心理上不适合交易？BPA交易室问答：2016年4月5日
Question: Do you think some people are psychologically incapable of trading successfully? Later on this year, I’ve been trading for a decade, and no matter how small I trade, the account just gets smaller every month. Audio duration: 5min 16sec
问题：您认为有些人在心理上无法成功地进行交易吗？今年晚些时候，我已经交易了十年了，无论我交易的规模多小，账户每个月都在缩水。音频时长：5分16秒
Trading psychology help in abundance
交易心理帮助随处可见
There are a lot of people, if you look on the internet, type in, do a search “I need psychological help as a day trader” or something. There are tons of people out there who claim that they can help you.
如果你在互联网上搜索“我作为日内交易者需要心理帮助”之类的内容，你会发现有很多人声称可以帮助你。那里有大量的人声称他们可以帮助你。
I once 20 years ago paid somebody for some trading psychologist. I listened to all the audiotapes, and at the end I thought it was a bunch of nonsense. I say that with a sister who’s a PhD psychologist and a brother who does sociology, so he’s really into psychology.
20年前，我曾付钱给一位交易心理学家。我听完了所有的音频磁带，最后我觉得这是一堆废话。我这样说是因为我有一个姐姐是心理学博士，还有一个哥哥从事社会学，所以他对心理学很感兴趣。
Takes time to figure it out
需要时间来弄清楚这一点
Do I think some people are psychologically incapable of trading successfully? Totally. I think there are some people who are psychologically incapable driving a car, or doing anything, working a cash register at Walmart. I’m not trying to make fun of your question. I understand what you’re asking, but the way you asked it, the reality is of course there are going to be some people, no matter how hard they try, that they’re just never going to do it. It took me 10 years to figure it out.
我认为有些人在心理上无法成功地进行交易吗？完全是这样。我认为有些人在心理上无法开车，或做任何事情，比如在沃尔玛操作收银机。我不是想嘲笑你的提问。我明白你在问什么，但你问问题的方式，现实情况是，当然会有一些人，无论他们多么努力，他们永远都不会做到这一点。我花了10年的时间才弄清楚这一点。
Scalping with tight stops
使用紧止损进行短线交易
So when you say that you’ve been doing it for a decade, even trading small, my guess is you’re probably scalping too much and you’re not using proper stops. On a day like this, you’re probably buying the top of everything and selling the bottom of everything, even though I’ve been saying all day “trading range day, trading range day, trading range day.” To me, it’s not a question of psychologically incapable as if there’s some emotional block. It’s probably that you know what the right things to do are, and you’re just not doing them. You’re waiting for higher probability, so you buy the close of 8 or you buy the close of 65, thinking “Okay, bull bar breaking out, we’re finally starting to trend.”
所以，当你说你已经做了十年了，即使交易量很小，我猜你可能做太多剥头皮交易，而且没有使用适当的止损。在这样的日子里，你可能在买入所有东西的最高点，卖出所有东西的最低点，尽管我整天都在说“交易区间日，交易区间日，交易区间日”。对我来说，这不是心理上无能的问题，好像有什么情绪障碍。你可能知道该做什么是正确的，但你就是没有去做。你在等待更高的概率，所以你在8号K线的收盘价买入，或者在65号K线的收盘价买入，心想“好了，多头K线突破了，我们终于开始趋势了。”
Trading range day
交易区间日
But it’s a trading range day, and you know Al’s 80% rule: 80% of the time if you’re in a trading range day and the market’s trying to break out, the breakout is going to fail and reverse. You have to assume disappointment will be taking place all the time on a trading range day.
但这是个交易区间日，你知道阿尔的80%法则：80%的情况下，如果你处于交易区间日，市场试图突破，那么突破就会失败并反转。你必须假设在交易区间日，失望会一直发生。
Trading successfully, or not?
交易成功了，还是失败了？
I would rephrase the question, do I think some people are psychologically incapable of trading successfully – I think some people are just really stubborn. I’m really stubborn, and it took me a long time to get over a whole bunch of bad habits that I was just repeating year after year after year. I knew what the right things to do were, and I would always have a reason why this was an exception, this is why I should not do the right thing, I have to do something else. It was just all nonsense and lying to myself all the time.
我想重新表述这个问题，我是否认为有些人心理上无法成功交易——我认为有些人只是非常固执。我也很固执，花了很长时间才克服掉一大堆我年复一年重复的坏习惯。我知道该做什么是正确的，但我总是会有理由认为这是一个例外，这就是为什么我不应该做正确的事情，我必须做其他事情。这全都是废话，我一直在欺骗自己。
Trade small, trade Forex
小额交易，交易外汇
Trading small I think is very important. You might also, as an alternative, trade Forex markets and trade higher timeframes like 1, 2, 3 hour charts in Forex markets and trade really small, like 10,000 units. You know where the stops are; just put the stop there. One of the nice things about Forex is you’re not going to watch it 24 hours a day because you have to sleep. So you just put your orders in and sleep, and trust that if you win, you make $20, $30, $50; if you lose, you lose $20, $30, $50. But that would be an alternative for you, to trade really wide timeframes.
我认为小额交易非常重要。你也可以选择交易外汇市场，使用更高的时段图表，比如外汇市场的1小时、2小时、3小时图表，并进行非常小的交易，比如10,000单位。你知道止损在哪里；只需将止损放在那里。外汇交易的一个好处是，你不需要24小时盯着它，因为你需要睡觉。所以你只需下单然后睡觉，相信如果你赢了，你会赚20美元、30美元、50美元；如果你输了，你会输20美元、30美元、50美元。但这对你来说是一个替代方案，可以交易非常宽阔的时间框架。
Trading options
期权交易
Another alternative is to do the equivalent with the E-mini. You put up a 60-minute chart and say “Wait a minute, Al. Some of those 60-minute bars are 8 points, 10 points tall. I don’t want to risk $500 on a trade.” That’s right. So you don’t trade the E-mini; you trade options. You trade a call, an at-the-money call or something. If you buy it 1 month out, for example, it might cost you $250, or you can buy it at slightly out-of-the-money and maybe it’ll cost you $200. The worst you can lose is $200. But in general, most option traders don’t want to give back half their premium, so theoretically if you paid $200, $300 for a call, the most you’re going to lose is $150 because you’re going to get out once half the premium is gone. That would be another way to do it.
另一个选择是采用与迷你标普（ES）相当的做法。你打开60分钟图表，说：“稍等一下，Al。有些60分钟K线高达8点、10点。我不想在单笔交易上冒500美元的风险。”没错。所以你不交易迷你标普，而是交易期权。你可以交易看涨期权，比如平值看涨期权之类的。如果你买入一个月到期的期权，比如说，可能要花你250美元，或者你可以买入略微虚值的期权，可能要花你200美元。你最多可能损失200美元。但通常情况下，大多数期权交易者不愿意放弃一半的期权费，所以理论上，如果你为看涨期权支付了200美元或300美元，你最多会损失150美元，因为一旦损失了半数期权费，你就会离场。这就是另一种做法。
Anyone really can trade
任何人都可以交易
But as far as the idea that some people are wired in a way so that they cannot trade successfully, I don’t really think so. I think anyone can do that, and I think trading small is a good, important component of that. But I’m sure if you look at your trades, on a day like this you’re buying at the top, you’re selling at the bottom. Early on I keep saying “trading range day, trading range day.” I said that so many times today. In general, if it’s a trading range day , if it’s in the bottom half of the day, only look to buy. If it’s in the top half of the day, only look to sell.
但至于有些人天生就无法成功交易这种说法，我并不认同。我认为任何人都可以做到这一点，而小额交易是其中的一个重要组成部分。但我相信，如果你回顾自己的交易，在这样的一天里，你会在高点买入，在低点卖出。我早就一直说“交易区间日，交易区间日”。我今天说了很多次这句话。一般来说，如果是交易区间日，如果是在当天的下半部分，就只考虑买入。如果是在当天的上半部分，就只考虑卖出。
Rely on logical stop
依赖合理的止损
It’s also better if you can use limit orders and risk 3, 4, 5 points. If you pick any of the trades that you took today, if you sold in the top half and risked 3, 4, or 5 points, or if you bought in the bottom half of the day’s range and risked 3, 4, or 5 points, I bet you’ll be shocked at how many good trades you actually took today. So I suspect that trade selection is a problem – you’re buying high on a trading range day, you’re selling low – and management is a problem. You’re probably getting out too early and not relying on what is a logical stop.
如果你能使用限价单并承担3、4、5点的风险，那就更好了。如果你选择今天进行的任何一笔交易，如果你在上半部分卖出并承担3、4或5点的风险，或者如果你在当天区间的下半部分买入并承担3、4或5点的风险，我敢打赌你会对今天实际进行的良好交易数量感到震惊。所以我怀疑交易选择是一个问题——你在交易区间日买入高价，卖出低价——管理也是一个问题。你可能离场过早，没有依赖合理的止损。
All right, hope everybody has a good night.
好了，希望大家都有一个美好的夜晚。
Al Brooks
Al Brooks
PS. This is the last Ask Al post for the year. Back after the holidays in 2017. Wishing you all a wonderful Christmas and New Year holiday. BTC Admin
PS：这是今年最后一篇“问Al”文章。2017年假期后再见。祝大家圣诞节和新年假期愉快。BTC管理员
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