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原文链接: https://www.brookstradingcourse.com/ask-al/small-pullback-trend-bought-many-times/ 生成时间: 2026-09-04 14:12
Small pullback trend BPA trading room Q&A: February 8, 2016
小幅回撤趋势的PA交易室问答：2016年2月8日
Question: I bought many times between bar 44 and the low of the day. Could you talk about ways to have stayed out of trouble more effectively? Video duration: 4min 00sec
问题：我在44号K线到当日低点之间买入了多次。你能否谈谈如何更有效地避免陷入困境？视频时长：4分00秒
You can also view this video on Al’s YouTube Channel if needed.
如有需要，你也可以在Al的YouTube频道上观看此视频。
Wide stop trading
宽止损交易
I think this is an example of wide stop type trading. Starting bar 44, he started buying, buying, buying, and losing money. As you can see, it’s a small pullback bear trend. The pullbacks are small. By pullbacks, I mean the bounces are small, and that means it’s difficult to make money.
我认为这是一个宽止损类型交易的案例。从44号K线开始，他开始买入、买入、再买入，结果亏损。正如你所看到的，这是一个小幅回撤的空头趋势。回撤幅度很小。我所说的回撤是指反弹幅度很小，这意味着赚钱很难。
For me, if I’m buying early, taking a chance that we’ll get a bar 30 and follow through with bar 13 and follow through – if I’m doing that here, I’ve got to use a wide stop. At this point I’m very confident that there’ll be buyers below 21, low of the day, below 28. I don’t know if they’ll come in at the 21 low. I don’t know if they’ll come in 5 points below the 21, but I am really confident that they’ll come in.
对我来说，如果我提前买入，押注会出现类似30号K线的情况，并伴随13号K线的后续跟进——如果我在这里这么做，我必须使用宽止损。此时，我非常有信心，在21（当日低点）下方、28下方会有买盘。我不知道他们是否会在21低点进场，也不知道他们是否会在21低点下方5点进场，但我非常有信心他们会进场。
So that means that if you buy the 44 high or any time after 45 and you use a wide stop, maybe 5 or 10 points below 21, the odds are very, very high that you’re going to make money. So if you’re buying early, you need a wide stop, and it’s probably better that you can scale in.
因此，这意味着如果你在44高点或45之后任何时间买入，并使用宽止损（可能在21下方5或10点），那么你赚钱的概率非常、非常高。所以，如果你提前买入，就需要宽止损，分批建仓可能更好。
Low probability – wait for reversal
低概率——等待反转
Otherwise, you hear me say all the time, it’s a possible low of the day. But the probability is low. I’d rather wait for the reversal up and buy after I see the reversal up. Traders who are buying around 44 or above 48. They’re doing it because they’re hoping, they’re afraid of losing money. Their account is too small, they worked really hard to get the account, and they’re really trying to buy at times when the signal bar is small so the risk is small if they put a stop below the signal bar.
否则，你经常听到我说，这可能是当天的低点。但概率很低。我宁愿等待反转向上，在看到反转向上后再买入。那些在44附近或高于48买入的交易者，他们这样做是因为他们抱有希望，害怕亏钱。他们的账户太小，他们费了很大劲才建立起这个账户，所以他们总是在信号K线较小时尝试买入，这样如果在信号K线下方设置止损，风险就很小。
That’s a mistake, because it’s overlooking a very important variable. There are three variables: there’s risk, reward, and probability . If all you see is risk – “Okay, I’m going to buy above 48 because the bar is small and I’m not risking much” – you’re missing an equally costly variable, probability. You’re buying above a small bull bar in a very tight bear channel, a small pullback bear trend. Chances are you’re going to lose money.
这是一个错误，因为它忽视了一个非常重要的变量。有三个变量：风险、回报和概率。如果你只看到风险——“好吧，我要在48上方买入，因为K线很小，我承担的风险不大”——那么你就忽略了一个同样代价高昂的变量，即概率。你在一个非常窄的空头通道中，在小幅回撤的空头趋势中，买入一根小阳线上方，很可能你会亏钱。
Trade small
小仓位交易
So you have to factor in probability and you have to trade small. You can say “Al. I can’t afford to risk 10 points.” Well, don’t take the trade. Wait until you get the strong reversal up and then buy. You see bar 30, then buy. You see bar 13, you buy. But then you see the bad follow-through, you get out breakeven, or with a point loss or something. Or you wait for bar 69 and you buy, or 70 and you buy.
所以你必须考虑概率，并且必须小仓位交易。你可以说：“Al，我承受不起10点的风险。”那就别交易。等到你看到强劲的反转向上再买入。你看到30号K线，就买入。你看到13号K线，就买入。但如果你看到后续跟进不佳，你就平仓离场，或者亏损一两点什么的。或者你等到69号K线买入，或者70号K线买入。
If your account prevents you from taking trades that you really would like to take, don’t take those trades. It’s better to not take the trades than it is to pretend probability does not matter. If all you see is risk – “Oh, 48, it’s a buy, 9, it’s a buy” – if all you see is “small bull bar, therefore risk is not big,” you’re going to lose money.
如果你的账户阻止你进行你真正想进行的交易，那就不要进行这些交易。不进行交易比假装概率不重要要好。如果你只看到风险——“哦，48，可以买入，9，可以买入”——如果你只看到“小阳线，所以风险不大”，你就会亏钱。
Low risk, high probability
低风险，高概率
You have to say “Yeah, small bull bar, risk is not big. Hey, wait a minute. Al keeps saying that if the risk is small, the probability is low. So that means chances are I’m going to lose money if I buy above 9 or if I buy above 48.” So, if you’re going to be taking low-risk trades , you have to realize the probability is low unless you use a really wide stop. Especially if you can scale in lower; then all of a sudden the probability starts to get very high.
你必须说：“是的，小阳线，风险不大。等等，Al一直说，如果风险小，概率就低。所以这意味着，如果我在9上方买入，或者在48上方买入，我很可能亏钱。”所以，如果你要进行低风险交易，你必须意识到概率很低，除非你使用非常宽的止损。特别是如果你可以在更低的位置加仓，那么突然之间，概率就会变得非常高。
Follow up question: Will you ever add to a winning position? A pullback in a strong trend, for instance?
后续问题：你会不会在获利的仓位上加仓？例如，在强劲趋势中的回撤时？
Buy, take profits, buy again…
买入，获利了结，再买入……
Yeah, I do that all the time. If I’m swinging – let’s say I’m swinging a long and the market’s going up and I take partial profits, and then I get another buy. A lot of times I’ll try to put the scalp portion back on. I’ll try to swing part and scalp part. Sometimes I’ll do it with calls. Sometimes I’ll be long calls, and I just hold the calls and then I scalp the futures. So buy, take profits, buy, take profits, buy, take profits.
是的，我经常这样做。如果我在做波段交易——比如我持多头头寸，市场上涨，我锁定部分利润，然后我又获得新的买入信号。很多时候，我会尝试重新建立短线头寸。我会尝试同时做波段和短线交易。有时候我会用期权来做。有时候我会持多头期权头寸，然后只持有期权，同时对期货进行短线交易。所以就是买入、获利了结、买入、获利了结、买入、获利了结。
Al Brooks
Information on Al’s Online day trading room
Al 的线上日交易室信息