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原文链接: https://www.brookstradingcourse.com/ask-al/strong-and-weak-bulls-and-bears/ 生成时间: 2026-09-04 14:50
BPA trading room Q&A: September 18, 2015
BPA 交易室问答：2015年9月18日
Can you explain why, in a strong trend, the biggest bars are always in the opposite direction?
你能解释一下为什么在强趋势中，最大的K线总是出现在反方向吗？
Video duration: 3min 34sec
视频时长：3分34秒
You can also view this video on Al’s YouTube Channel if needed.
如果需要，你也可以在 Al 的 YouTube 频道上观看这段视频。
Video transcript
视频文字稿
Always keep both bulls and bears in mind
始终牢记多头和空头
I do talk about it every now and then, but let’s talk about bar 75, and what took place on bar 75, Ok? I always think about it in terms of strong and weak bulls and bears. And so you get strong bears, strong bulls, weak bears, weak bulls.
我确实经常提到这个问题，但让我们来谈谈 75 号 K 线，以及 75 号 K 线上发生了什么，好吗？我总是从强势多头、弱势多头、强势空头和弱势空头的角度来思考这个问题。所以你会看到强势空头、强势多头、弱势空头和弱势多头。
Strong bears
强势空头
Now think about it from the strong bear perspective. Are they shorting down here? Or did they short up here, and up here? There not interested in shorting down here, unless they’re really confident the strong bulls will not come in, right? So the strong bears are not going to be shorting down here. They see it’s a weak bear channel. It’s a channel, it’s a bear trend, but it’s weak–so they doubt that it’s going to be going very far. So if you’re a strong bear, you’re thinking “Okay. It’s not going to go very far, I got to take profits at some point. And what would be the best place for me to take profits? Well, if I get a gift bar – if I get a bar that’s just a gift, a big bar closing on its low, that’s where I want to take profits.” So the strong bears look at 75 and say “Wow! That’s a gift. I got to get out of here. The end of the day, the end of the week, we’re probably not going to go down very much. If 76 is also a big bear bar closing on its low, I’ll sell again. But right now I’m getting out on the 75 close, or the 76 close.” So the strong bears are getting out.
现在从强空头的角度来思考。他们是否在这里做空？还是说他们在这里做空，然后在这里做空？他们对在这里做空不感兴趣，除非他们非常确信强多头不会进场，对吧？所以强空头不会在这里做空。他们认为这是一个弱空头通道。这是一个通道，是一个空头趋势，但很弱——所以他们怀疑它不会走得太远。所以，如果你是一个强空头，你会想：“好吧，它不会走得太远，我必须在某个时候获利了结。那么，对我来说最好的获利点在哪里呢？如果我得到一根礼物K线——如果我得到一根只是礼物的K线，一根收盘价在低位的长阴线，那就是我想要获利的地方。” 所以强空头看着75号K线说：“哇！这是一个礼物。我得离开这里。到周尾，我们可能不会下跌太多。如果76号K线也是一根收盘价在低位的大阴线，我会再次卖出。但现在我要在75号K线收盘或76号K线收盘时离场。” 所以强空头正在离场。
Weak bears
弱空头
What are the weak bears doing? They’re saying “Oh my gosh. I did not short 75. It’s breaking out, it’s going to be a Sell The Close market. I’m going to sell.” So the weak bears are selling, and as soon as it starts to turn up, 76, 77, they decide “Ohh I’m in trouble, I got to buy back my shorts.” So you get the strong bears buying, you get the weak bears buying.
弱空头在做什么？他们说：“天哪，我没有在75号K线做空。它正在突破，将成为卖出收盘的市场。我要卖出了。” 所以弱空头在卖出，一旦价格开始反弹，76号K线、77号K线，他们就决定：“哦，我有麻烦了，我得回购我的空头头寸。” 所以你看到强空头在买入，弱空头也在买入。
Weak bulls
弱多头
And the weak bulls, what are they doing? They keep buying and buying and buying. Buying below bars, scaling in, scaling in, buying, buying, buying… And then they see 75, and they say “Darn, it’s the end of the week, and it might be collapsing into the close — like it did a couple of weeks ago. And I could be just killed. I don’t think it’s going to happen, but I really cannot afford to lose anymore. I bought here, I added on here. I added on here. I bought below here. And now I got like a position that is four times greater than what I ever want to hold. And I’ve got a breakout 75, I just can’t take a chance. I’ve lost too much already. I just can’t take a chance. I don’t want to blow my account — I got to sell out of my longs.”
弱多头在做什么？他们不断地买入、买入、买入。在K线下方买入，加仓、加仓，买入、买入、买入……然后他们看到75号K线，说：“该死，这是周尾了，它可能像几周前一样在收盘前崩盘。我可能会被套牢。我不认为这会发生，但我真的不能再承受任何损失了。我在这里买入，在这里加仓。我在这里加仓。我在下方买入。现在我的仓位是我原本想持有的四倍。我有75号K线的突破，我不能冒险了。我已经损失太多了。我不能再冒险了。我不想爆仓——我得卖出我的多头头寸。”
So the weak bulls are selling on the 75 close. They just see that and they say “I know it’s probably going to reverse , I can’t do it, I can’t do it. But I’ve lost too much, I can’t lose anymore.
所以弱多头在75号K线收盘时卖出。他们只是看到这一点，说：“我知道它可能会反转，我做不到，我做不到。但我已经损失太多了，不能再损失了。”
Strong bulls
强多头
And the strong bulls, they’re thinking like what I’m thinking – they are no more weak bulls left, they gave up on 75 — certainly by the close of 75. The strong bears see this as a weak bear channel, at the end of the week, end of the day—and a great profit opportunity. If it continues down they’ll sell again. But it’s probably not going to continue down, so the strong bears are buying. Weak bears are giving up on 76. The weak bulls are selling out. And that’s what is taking place on bars 75, 76.
而强势多头的想法和我一样——他们认为已经没有弱势多头了，这些弱势多头在75号K线时就放弃了，尤其是在75号K线收盘时。强势空头认为这是一个弱势空头通道，出现在周尾或日尾——是一个很好的获利机会。如果价格继续下跌，他们会再次卖出。但价格可能不会继续下跌，所以强势空头正在买入。弱势空头在76号K线时放弃了。弱势多头正在卖出离场。这就是75号K线和76号K线上发生的情况。
Often leads to big reversal bar
这通常会导致出现大反转K线。
So strong bulls buy. Strong bears buy. Weak bears sell and then buy [cover]. And weak bulls sell. And the result is strong bulls, strong bears buying – the market’s going up.
所以强势多头买入，强势空头也买入。弱势空头卖出后再买入（平仓）。弱势多头卖出。结果是强势多头和强势空头都在买入——市场上涨。
I talk about that a lot in the new videos, because the question comes up every now and then. So I try to make it clear.
我在新视频中经常提到这个问题，因为这个问题时不时就会出现。所以我尽力把它说清楚。
Al Brooks
阿尔·布鲁克斯
Information on Al’s Online day trading room
关于阿尔在线日间交易室的信息