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原文链接: https://www.brookstradingcourse.com/ask-al/tight-stops-selling-wedge-top/ 生成时间: 2026-09-04 14:12
Tight stops with wedge top setups BPA trading room Q&A: April 1, 2016
楔形顶形态的紧密止损设置——BPA交易室问答：2016年4月1日
Question: Will you explain again, with context, why selling 68 high for a scalp is a good trade, for a stop four to five ticks above. With context, when is it not a good trade? Video duration: 2min 57sec
问题：能否再次解释一下，为什么在68高点卖出进行短线交易是一个好的交易，止损设置在4到5个点上方。在什么情况下，这不是一笔好的交易？视频时长：2分57秒
You can also view this video on Al’s YouTube channel if needed.
如有需要，您也可以在Al的YouTube频道上观看此视频。
Tight stops — context needed
紧密止损——需要背景分析
Yeah, 68 is a special situation, right? And you don’t get these every day, but you do get them occasionally. So here we have a Wedge Top , two legs, three pushes up — one, two, three. You could say it’s a type of Low 4 short. Tried three times here to get short. We tried one time here, we’re trying again there. A Low 4 short is usually — the context is reasonable and this is. We have a Wedge Top.
是的，68是一个特殊的情况，对吧？虽然不是每天都会遇到，但偶尔也会出现。这里我们有一个楔形顶，两腿，三次向上推动——一、二、三。你可以说这是一种低4空的类型。我们在这里尝试了三次做空。我们在这里尝试了一次，在那里又尝试了一次。低4空通常——背景是合理的，而这里也是如此。我们有一个楔形顶。
If you have a Low 4 short, or some other reasonably high probability trade, you can simply say it’s a second entry short with a breakout above this Final Flag. No matter how you look at it, it’s a second entry short, 64, 67. But the signal bar is only three ticks tall. And whenever you have a really small signal bar, you say, “Ahh. I’m going to sell one tick below 68 and I’m going to put my stop one tick above 68. I’m only risking five ticks. So that’s about as small a risk as I can possibly get.”
如果你有一个低4空，或者其他概率较高的交易，你可以简单地说这是一个突破最终旗形形态后的第二次做空入场，点位在64、67。无论你怎么看，这都是第二次做空入场。但信号K线只有3个点高。每当你遇到一个非常小的信号K线时，你会说：“啊，我要在68下方1个点卖出，并在68上方1个点设置止损。我只承担5个点的风险。所以这可能是我能承担的最小风险了。”
Tiny risk with good probability – really?
微小的风险，但概率不错——真的吗？
So just say that to yourself. That you have a trade with decent context, but really tiny risk. Decent context means pretty good probability, Okay, and really tiny risk. Something is wrong, and what’s wrong is the probability is not what you think it is. The smaller the risk, in general, means the smaller the probability. So the short is a high probability short if you use a wide stop, a wider stop than just one tick above 68. So it’s really common that, whenever you have a decent-looking setup, 68, that the market goes below 68 and triggers the short. Immediately goes above 68, hits the stops, and then turns back down again below 68. And then the trade works after it stops out the dummies. It’s just a really common thing.
所以，只需对自己说，你有一个背景合理的交易，但风险非常小。背景合理意味着概率相当不错，好的，风险非常小。有什么不对劲，问题出在概率并不是你所认为的那样。一般来说，风险越小，意味着概率越小。所以，如果你使用一个比68上方1个点更宽的止损，那么这笔做空交易就是高概率的。所以，当你有一个看起来不错的形态，比如68，市场往往会跌破68并触发做空。然后立即反弹至68上方，触及止损，再回落至68下方。然后，在止损掉那些傻瓜后，交易才开始生效。这就是一个非常常见的情况。
Not so tight stops can work
止损不必设得太紧，这样也能有效
So if I’m shorting below 68, I know that it’s a three tick tall bar. There’s probably at least a 50-50 chance that it’s going to trigger the short below 68, go above 68, and then from there, maybe a 50-50 chance that it will go back below 68. So if I’m shorting below 68, there’s no way I’m putting a stop above 68. I’m going to put a stop three or four ticks above. Sometimes two or three points above, to allow room. But that’s what happens whenever you have a really low risk, a small signal bar.
所以如果我在68下方做空，我知道这是一根三跳高的K线。它至少有50%的概率会触发68下方的空单，然后上涨到68上方，从那里开始，可能有50%的概率会再次跌回68下方。所以如果我在68下方做空，我绝不会将止损设置在68上方。我会将止损设置在上方三到四跳的位置。有时为了留出空间，我会将其设置在上方两到三点的位置。但这就是当你遇到风险极低、信号K线较小时会发生的情况。
You cannot put a stop one tick above, because the probability is you’re going to get stopped out. So if ever you short below a small bar like 68, never put the stop one tick above 68. I would say, probably 70% chance you’re going to get stopped out. If you have a stop five ticks above, four, five, six ticks above, maybe you have less than a 50-50 chance of getting stopped out.
你不能将止损设置在上方一个跳动的位置，因为你很可能被止损出局。所以，如果你在像68号这样的小K线下方做空，永远不要将止损设置在68上方一个跳动的位置。我可以说，你被止损出局的概率可能高达70%。如果你将止损设置在上方五个跳动、四个、五个或六个跳动的位置，那么你被止损出局的概率可能低于50%。
Al Brooks
Al Brooks
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