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原文链接: https://www.brookstradingcourse.com/ask-al/trading-room-commentary/ 生成时间: 2026-08-31 15:15
Al Brooks’ live trading room BPA trading room commentary: April 5, 2016
Al Brooks 实盘交易室 BPA 交易室评论：2016年4月5日
An extract from Al’s trading room today, in response to many requests for some insight into how room operates. You can find a one hour sample on the Learn to Trade/Trading room menu link above. A more recent sample of the room will be prepared in future to reflect Al’s evolving style. Let us know if you want more of these Ask Al room extracts. A longer extract is planned for this month or next. Video duration: 5min 04sec
这是今天从 Al 的交易室中摘取的一段内容，以回应许多人希望了解交易室运作方式的要求。您可以在上面的“学习交易/交易室”菜单链接中找到一个一小时的示例。未来将准备一个更新的交易室示例，以反映 Al 不断发展的风格。如果您希望看到更多这样的“向 Al 提问”交易室摘录，请告诉我们。计划在本月或下个月发布一个更长的摘录。视频时长：5分04秒
You can also view this video on Al’s YouTube Channel if needed.
如有需要，您也可以在 Al 的 YouTube 频道上观看此视频。
Bear flag? Or not?
这是空头旗形吗？还是不是？
So what are the chances that this is simply a bear flag? Well, I think the chances are better than 50/50, the bear breakout has failed and we’re going to try again to get above the moving average. Bulls still have not yet done enough to convince traders that the bear trend , the bear channel has ended. But whenever the market tries 4 or 5 times to get above the moving average and every failure lasts only a bar, or 2 or 3, the odds are the bulls eventually will be successful. So I do think at this point—the bears had their chance, 34 failed, so I do think we will break above the moving average and stay above it for 10 bars or so.
那么，这只是空头旗形的可能性有多大呢？我认为这种可能性大于50/50，空头突破已经失败，我们将再次尝试突破均线上方。多头仍然没有做足够的事情来让交易者相信空头趋势、空头通道已经结束。但只要市场尝试4次或5次突破均线上方，而每次失败只持续一根K线，或2、3根K线，那么多头最终成功的概率就很大。所以我认为在这一点上——空头已经有过机会，34号K线失败了，所以我认为我们将突破均线上方，并在上方维持约10根K线。
The target, whenever you’re in a bear channel, is each prior lower high, 1, 2, 3. This is also a type of a wedge. You have a double bottom bear breakout, so 3 pushes down — 1, 2, 3. So the double bottom creates the first two pushes. Then the failed bear breakout, the third push. The reversals up have just not been strong. Bar 20, bar 29, 31, 38, the bars are just not big enough, and they have not yet had follow through.
目标是，当你处于空头通道时，每次都是之前较低的高点，1、2、3。这也是楔形的一种类型。你有一个双底空头突破，所以有3次向下推动——1、2、3。因此，双底创造了前两次推动。然后是空头突破失败，第三次推动。向上反转的力度一直不够强。20号K线、29号K线、31号K线、38号K线，这些K线都不够大，而且还没有后续跟进。
Bear channel trading
空头通道交易
Bears. When you’re in a bear channel, the bears sell every close of every big bull trend bar, right below the moving average, at least for a scalp. So the bears are selling this. I’m currently flat but I’m more inclined to buy because 38 is a good enough reversal to make me think the bears lost control. But the bulls really have got to get above the moving average. So buyers or sellers below 38, 39? For the bears, it’s a swing sell for the bear channel. The bears should not have allowed 35, and they then should not have allowed 4 bars up. They should not have allowed 38 to close above the 37 high. So this is interesting, 39. Will the bulls get a gap? 39 low, 37 high. If they do, it would be a subtle sign that the bulls are taking control.
空头。当你处于空头通道时，空头会在每根大阳线收盘时卖出，就在均线下方，至少是为了剥头皮。所以空头正在卖出。我目前持平，但我更倾向于买入，因为38号K线是一个足够好的反转，让我认为空头失去了控制。但多头确实需要突破均线上方。所以买家或卖家在38、39下方？对于空头来说，这是在空头通道中做空波段。空头不应该允许35号K线出现，然后也不应该允许4根K线上涨。他们不应该允许38号K线收盘高于37号K线的高点。所以这很有趣，39号K线。多头会获得缺口吗？39低点，37高点。如果他们做到了，那将是一个微妙的信号，表明多头正在掌控局面。
Possible trading range day
可能是交易区间日
The entire selloff does not look very strong. It’s probably a bear leg in a trading range. Trading range has to have at least one bear leg and one bull leg. We’ve had the bear leg. I don’t think this is enough of a bull leg so I think that we’re going to get a bull leg. But so far the bulls are continuing to fail to do what they need to do, to make traders believe that they have taken control. Would I buy or sell 39, a failure at the moving average? I would not sell it. The bears had terrible follow through, 35, and then they allowed the bull breakout 38. So all I would do here is buy or wait. We’re so close to the moving average, and the bulls have failed at the moving average for 3 hours. It makes me hesitant to buy this close to the moving average but I’m ready to buy if we start to break strongly above the moving average.
整个抛售看起来并不强势。这可能只是交易区间中的一个空头腿。交易区间必须至少有一个空头腿和一个多头腿。我们已经经历了空头腿。我认为这还不足以构成一个多头腿，所以我认为我们会迎来一个多头腿。但到目前为止，多头仍然未能做到他们需要做的事情，让交易者相信他们已经掌控了局面。我会买入或卖出39号K线吗？如果在均线处出现失败，我不会卖出。空头在35号K线上的后续跟进表现糟糕，然后他们又允许了38号K线的多头突破。所以我在这里只会买入或等待。我们离均线这么近，多头在均线处已经失败了3个小时。这让我犹豫是否要在这么接近均线的位置买入，但如果我们开始强势突破均线上方，我准备好了买入。
Bullish, bearish, bullish…
多头、空头、多头……
If you notice, I was starting to get a little bullish over here. And then I was bearish over here. And then bullish again. I don’t have any problems changing my mind. Sometimes I’ll change my mind several times, in the course of a minute. I just don’t have any difficulty with that at all. I just make an assessment of what is in front of me and then I decide whether it’s reliable enough for me to place a trade. If it’s not, I wait. Right now, I’m waiting. And I don’t view it as, “Oh Al. You’re so stupid! You thought it was becoming long on 31 and short on 34, and long on 38—you don’t know what you’re doing.” I don’t think of it that way. I think of it as the market is telling me it lacks direction.
如果你注意到，我在这里开始有点看多。然后我在这里看空。然后又看多了。我没有问题改变我的想法。有时候我会在一分钟内改变我的想法好几次。我完全没有这方面的困难。我只是评估眼前发生的事情，然后决定它是否足够可靠，让我可以下单交易。如果不行，我就等待。现在，我正在等待。我不把它看作是，“哦，Al，你真笨！你以为31号K线要做多，34号K线要做空，38号K线又要做多——你根本不知道自己在做什么。”我不这么想。我认为市场在告诉我它缺乏方向。
Most breakouts fail!
大多数突破都会失败！
Everyone wants a trend. Most of the time you do not get a clear strong trend and a lot of times you get this: every 2 or 3 bars, it reverses. So I don’t view it as me being wrong, I just view it as the market unable to sustain a move, one way or the other. One of the attempts is going to be successful. Just like I’ve been saying for 2 years now, that one of the breakout attempts – here’s the weekly chart. One of the breakout attempts will be successful, but any one of them is probably going to fail – fail – fail – fail – fail!
每个人都希望有一个趋势。但大多数时候你得不到一个清晰强劲的趋势，很多时候你会遇到这种情况：每2或3根K线，它就会反转。所以我不认为这是我错了，我只是认为市场无法维持某个方向的走势。其中一次尝试将会成功。就像我两年来一直在说的，其中一次突破尝试——这里是周线图——将会成功，但任何一次尝试都很可能失败——失败——失败——失败——失败！
How the day ended – A trading range day
这一天的结束情况——一个交易区间日
Al Brooks
Al Brooks
Information on Al’s Online day trading room
关于 Al 的在线日间交易室的信息