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原文链接: https://www.brookstradingcourse.com/ask-al/trading-room-extended-discussion/ 生成时间: 2026-09-04 14:12
Al Brooks’ trading room sample BPA trading room: September 6, 2016
Al Brooks 交易室的 BPA 交易示例：2016 年 9 月 6 日
A follow up, long extract from Al’s trading room. This is in response to requests for more such content from Al’s trading room. Video duration: 21min
这是 Al 交易室的详细后续内容，应要求提供更多 Al 交易室内容的请求而发布。视频时长：21 分钟
You can also view this video on Al’s YouTube Channel if needed.
如有需要，您也可以在 Al 的 YouTube 频道上观看此视频。
Weak openings
弱势开盘
Most days over the past month have had weak openings. The market just kind of goes sideways for a little while. Right here we have a sell signal for a test of yesterday’s high, so it is an okay short below 1. What about buying above 1? It’s a bear bar, and usually that’s not a great buy signal bar, especially at the high. So best choice right here is flat. Buyers or sellers above 1? Better than 50-50 chance sellers above, but still possible low of the day. Buyers or sellers below 1? I think it’s a swing sell.
过去一个月里，大多数交易日开盘都比较疲软。市场只是横盘整理了一小段时间。这里有一个卖出信号，测试昨日高点，所以在 1 以下做空是可以的。那么在 1 以上买入呢？这是一根阴线，通常这不是一个很好的买入信号 K 线，尤其是在高位。所以这里最好的选择是持平。1 以上是买方还是卖方？卖方概率大于 50%，但仍有可能是当日低点。1 以下是买方还是卖方？我认为这是波段卖出。
But with so many days over the past month going sideways on the open, taking an hour or more to decide on direction, today’s probably going to be like every other day, taking an hour or so to decide on its direction. Even here you’ve got a bear trend, but they’re going sideways for a lot of bars. We do not have a big breakout on the open.
但过去一个月里，开盘后横盘整理的情况很多，需要一小时或更长时间才能决定方向，所以今天的情况可能与其他交易日类似，需要一小时左右才能决定方向。即使在这里，你也看到了空头趋势，但他们横盘整理了很多 K 线。我们在开盘时没有出现大的突破。
So this is a swing short, and it’s an okay swing short, but not a high probability swing short. You can argue test of yesterday’s high. Wedge 1, 2, 3. Micro double top. You saw at 3, again failing to be another big bear bar. More bears gave up and they just started to buy back here, and that made 4 close on its high.
所以这是一个波段空头，是一个不错的波段空头，但不是高概率的波段空头。你可以认为这是对昨日高点的测试。楔形 1、2、3。微型双顶。你在 3 号 K 线看到，它再次未能成为另一根大阴线。更多的空头放弃了，他们开始在这里回补买入，这导致 4 号 K 线收于高点。
I am still neutral. I think still Always In Short, but not strongly bearish. Bulls hoping the sell-off is weak enough, so that traders will see it as a bull flag. The bears are hoping that we just work lower and have a swing down. I am slightly more bearish than bullish because we’re at resistance, yesterday’s high.
我仍然保持中立。我认为仍然可以始终持空，但不是强烈看空。多头希望抛售足够疲软，这样交易者就会将其视为多头旗形。空头则希望我们继续下跌，出现波段下跌。我略微看空，因为我们处于阻力位，即昨日高点。
But this is not looking like a bear swing, this looks like a trading range open, and the market is deciding if the initial move will be up or down. For the bears are hoping for an opening reversal, a rally to resistance, yesterday’s high, Friday’s high, and then a reversal down. The bulls are hoping for an opening reversal, a pullback to support, moving average, and then a trend up.
但这看起来不像空头波段，更像是交易区间的开盘，市场正在决定最初的走势是向上还是向下。空头希望看到开盘反转，价格反弹至阻力位，即昨日高点或周五高点，然后再反转向下。多头则希望看到开盘反转，价格回撤至支撑位或均线，然后再开启上涨趋势。
But right now the market is, I think, neutral. It’s Always In Short below 1, but I think it’s really neutral. Traders need a breakout one way or the other. This early two-sided training, a lot of little reversals at the top of our weak rally with a lot of small bars, prominent tails, reduces the chances that today will be a big trend day up or down.
但我认为，目前市场是中性的。在1点以下时，它始终处于空头状态，但我认为它实际上是中性的。交易者需要一个方向的突破。这种早期的双向训练，在弱势反弹的高点出现许多小幅反转，伴随着许多小K线、明显的影线，降低了今天成为大幅上涨或下跌趋势日的可能性。
Daily chart analysis – Trading range day
日线图分析——交易区间日
Also, look at the daily chart: the past four days were all dojis. That means the market traded one way and then the other way. Right now the odds are today will be mostly a trading range day, which means it’ll probably have a 2- to 4-hour swing in one direction, and then a swing in the opposite direction. We’re only 10 points away from the all-time high, so we could easily get there today. However, this open so far I think increases the chances that the day is going to be mostly a trading range day.
再看看日线图：过去四天都是十字线。这意味着市场先向一个方向交易，然后又向另一个方向交易。目前来看，今天很可能是一个交易区间日，这意味着它可能会有一个2到4小时的单向波动，然后再向相反方向波动。我们距离历史高点只有10点，所以今天很容易就能到达那里。然而，我认为目前的开盘情况增加了今天大部分时间将是交易区间日的可能性。
I think it’s interesting that the bulls made money buying below one, and the bears have not made money, unless they sold the 1 close. You can see it fell 5 ticks, so the traders who sold the 1 or 2 close made 1 point. Makes you question just how bearish this is; 5 bars into the day, the bears had one reasonable scalp. Some traders may have sold a tick below the 4 high, betting against a successful bull breakout.
我觉得很有趣的是，多头在1号K线下方买入获利了，而空头却没有获利，除非他们卖出了1号K线的收盘价。你可以看到价格下跌了5个点，所以卖出1号或2号K线收盘价的交易者获利了1个点。这让你质疑这到底有多空头；开盘后5根K线，空头只获得了一次合理的短线机会。有些交易者可能在4号K线高点下方1个点卖出，押注多头突破失败。
But even though we have a bear reversal at resistance, yesterday’s high just below the all-time high – it has not been easy for the bears to make money. That reduces the chances – makes it pretty much equal, 50-50, that we’ll go up or down.
但尽管我们在阻力位出现了空头反转，昨日的高点也刚好位于历史高点下方，但空头要获利却并不容易。这降低了概率——使得我们向上或向下走的可能性几乎相等，各占50%。
They can be short still, stop above 1, maybe a stop above 4, I don’t know. The bulls do not have a stop entry buy yet, but if the market gets above 4, that would be a buy – but not a very good one. I think most traders should either be flat or short.
它们仍然可以做空，止损位设在1上方，也许是4上方止损，我不知道。多头还没有止损入场买入的机会，但如果市场突破4，那将是一个买入信号——但不是一个很好的买入信号。我认为大多数交易者应该保持观望或做空。
Surprise moves
意外的走势
A lot of times the market does something like that. If you’re quick, you sell this reversal down. The market very often goes the wrong way to trap traders, and you’ve got to be ready for it. I sold after the market went below 7, so I got filled down here. But you’ve just got to be really quick. Very often the market does something like this, traps traders into doing the wrong thing. You can see we went above 7; we also went above 5, a big bear bar, and above 4. Instead of buyers, institutions came in and sold.
市场经常会这样做。如果你反应够快，可以卖出这个反转下跌。市场经常会走错方向来陷害交易者，你必须做好准备。我在市场跌破7后卖出，所以我在这里被成交了。但你必须非常迅速。市场经常会这样做，陷害交易者做出错误的举动。你可以看到我们突破了7，也突破了5（一根大阴线）和4。但买家没有出现，机构进场卖出了。
Until it becomes clearly a trend, I usually scalp out for a couple of points, and I just get out and back to flat. But this is a “give up” bar. The market right now is deciding whether this is the start of a bear swing that could last 2 or 3 hours, or is it going to fail and instead lead to a trading range. I think it’s a pretty impressive bar, so I think the odds are, right now, 50% we’ve seen the high of the day.
在它明确成为趋势之前，我通常会剥头皮赚几个点就出场，回到空仓状态。但这是一根"放弃"K线。市场现在正在决定，这是否是一波可能持续两三个小时的空头下跌段的开始，还是会失败并转而形成交易区间。我觉得这是一根相当有冲击力的K线，所以我认为目前概率是50%，我们已经见到了当天的最高点。
You look at it and see 7 – there’s a bull bar closing in on its high, and trying for the moving average. How can it do this? It’s a 7-bar bear micro channel, so I certainly don’t want to buy above any bull bar, even a good-looking bull bar. It’s a tall bar, so the risk is relatively big. It’s in both a bear channel and a tight trading range, so I don’t want to be buying with a stop above.
你看看7号K线——这是一根阳线，收盘接近高点，试图触及均线。它怎么能做到这一点？这是一个7根K线的空头微型通道，所以我肯定不想在任何阳线上方买入，即使是看起来不错的阳线。这是一根高长的K线，所以风险相对较大。它既处于空头通道，又处于窄幅交易区间，所以我不想在止损位上方买入。
What I do is I wait to see if it starts to do that. I was slow making up my mind; I could’ve sold sooner. But I still was able to get at least a short in there.
我的做法是等待观察它是否开始这样做。我做决定时比较慢，本可以更早卖出。但我仍然能够至少在那里做空。
We’re back in this tight trading range, so we’re going to go sideways here. Bears want to keep the gap open, 7 low, and the bulls obviously want to close the gap and they’re hoping that this bear breakout fails. There’s the measured move, takes us to the bottom, spike channel. Very often the market comes back down to the bottom of the channel, the first pullback after the breakout.
我们又回到了这个窄幅交易区间，所以我们将在这里横盘整理。空头希望保持缺口开放，低点在7，而多头显然希望关闭缺口，并希望这次空头突破失败。这就是等距运动，它将我们带到了底部，形成了尖刺通道。市场经常在突破后的第一次回撤中回到通道底部。
The market’s deciding how bearish this will be. We already see the big tail on the bottom of 8. That’s a problem for the bears. We had a day like that last week. Will we do this? Probably not. When you get these big bear breakouts and you get a tail, or bad follow-through on the next bar, it increases the chances you do this or even get a couple legs up to there.
市场正在决定这将有多空头。我们已经看到8号K线底部有个大影线。这对空头来说是个问题。上周我们有过这样的一天。我们会这样做吗？可能不会。当你遇到这些大的空头突破，并且下一根K线出现影线或糟糕的跟进时，这增加了你这样做甚至获得几段上涨到那里的机会。
Here’s an example. Big bear breakout, close below the low of the last 10 bars or so, and then big tail, bull bar. We’ve got to bounce. We stayed below the top of the bear breakout, but a lot of weak bears got out. So we might be doing the same thing here. Will the bears get good follow-through selling on bar 9?
这里有一个例子。大的空头突破，收盘低于过去10根K线左右的低点，然后出现大影线，阳线。我们必须反弹。我们保持在空头突破高点下方，但许多弱势空头离场了。所以我们可能在这里做同样的事情。空头在9号K线上能得到良好的卖出跟进吗？
I shorted again here. This time I got out with 1 point. I’m back to flat. I think the odds are 9 is going to disappoint the bears, so I think it’ll be a small bar, or an inside bar, or a bull bar. There’s something wrong with it. But if it closes on its low, we might end up with a bear trend day. We still have room to a measured move and we have this, so we should get to these two prices. We reversed down, we tried to get above Friday’s high – which is the high of last week.
我在这里再次做空。这次我只赚了1点就平仓了，回到了持平状态。我认为9号K线可能会让空头失望，所以我认为它会是一根小K线，或者内包线，或者阳线。这里有问题。但如果它收盘在低点，我们可能会迎来一个空头趋势日。我们仍然有空间完成一个等距运动，而且我们有这个条件，所以我们应该能达到这两个价格。我们向下反转了，我们试图突破上周五的高点——也就是上周的高点。
Weekly chart analysis – Buy signal bar
周线图分析 – 做多信号K线
Do you remember what I said on Friday about the weekly chart? I said last week was a buy signal bar. We tried to trigger the buy on the open by going above last week’s high, and we could not get there. We still have 4 days left including today, so we still might trigger the buy on the weekly chart, which might get us up to the all-time high.
你还记得我周五说过关于周线图的话吗？我说上周是一根买入信号K线。我们试图在开盘时突破上周高点来触发买入信号，但我们未能成功。我们今天还有4天时间，所以我们仍然可能在周线图上触发买入信号，这可能会让我们涨到历史新高。
Sometimes I can talk about this. You see a buy signal bar here, buy signal bar there, a high 2, two legs down, one pullback, two – and you say “How can 7 form if 8 is so bearish?” I think that some very bearish firms buy during 7 to trigger the buy above 7. They buy through here with the intention of triggering the buy, running the stops. You buy anywhere on 7 to get it to go up, up, up, you buy above 7, and then you immediately sell a huge amount, either at the 7 high or the 4 high. So I think a bull bar like that in this context, in part is created by bearish firms trying to trigger the buy, knowing that they have enough dollars to short that they’ll be able to reverse the market down.
有时候我可以谈谈这个问题。你在这里看到一根买入信号K线，在那里又看到一根买入信号K线，高点2，两个向下的推进段，一个回撤，两个——然后你说：“如果8号K线如此看空，7号K线怎么可能形成？”我认为一些非常看空的公司会在7号K线期间买入，以触发7号K线以上的买入信号。他们在这里买入，目的是触发买入信号，逼出止损单。你可以在7号K线的任何位置买入，让它上涨，上涨，再上涨，你在7号K线以上买入，然后立即卖出大量头寸，要么在7号K线高点，要么在4号K线高点。所以我认为，在这种情况下，一根这样的阳线部分是由看空公司创造的，他们试图触发买入信号，因为他们知道自己有足够的资金做空，能够让市场反转下行。
You may say, “Well that’s not fair. That’s cheating. Would anybody cheat?” Well, it’s not cheating. It’s smart. If you’re able to do it, you do it. And it’s not like five firms get together and say “Hey, let’s buy this, trap out the weak bears and trap in the weak bulls, and then as soon as it triggers the buy, let’s just dump thousands and thousands of Emini contracts short and reverse it down.” They don’t get together and say that, but enough of them understand what’s going on here so that if a lot of them do it, they don’t have to talk to one another. If a lot of them do it, this is what you get.
你可能会说：“这不公平，这是作弊。有人会作弊吗？”其实这不是作弊，这是聪明。如果你能做到，你就去做。这不像五家公司聚在一起说：“嘿，让我们买入，把弱空头逼出去，把弱多头逼进来，然后一旦触发买入信号，我们就抛售成千上万份迷你标普合约，让市场反转下行。”他们不会聚在一起这样说，但他们中有足够多的人明白这里发生了什么，所以如果他们中有很多人这样做，他们就不需要互相交谈。如果他们中有很多人这样做，这就是你得到的结果。
But the bottom line is, sometimes a good-looking bull bar and a good-looking buy setup is created by bears, who are trying to trick traders into buying high, either buy back shorts or buy into longs.
但关键是，有时候一根看起来不错的阳线和一套看起来不错的买入策略是由空头创造的，他们试图诱骗交易者在高位买入，要么回补空头头寸，要么建立多头头寸。
Is 10 enough of a disappointment bar to make the bears buy back their shorts? Not really, but in general, if we’re at a major support area like the 60-minute moving average and there’s any hesitation, like bar 11, I do not take the short. If anything I would be buying the 11 low – which I did not, but that’s the only trade I would take here.
10号K线是否足够令人失望，能让空头回补他们的空单？其实不然，但一般来说，如果我们处于一个重要的支撑区域，比如60分钟均线附近，并且出现任何犹豫，比如11号K线，我就不会做空。如果有什么动作，我会买入11号K线的低点——但我没有这样做，这是我在这里唯一会做的交易。
Sell the close, but tail – inside bar, doji bar. This is not looking all that bearish. I would not sell here. I would still sell the close but we’re right at the 60-minute moving average and yesterday’s low. I think it’s more likely that we’re going to start to go sideways to up a little bit. The bars are not all that big, so not all that bearish, and hesitation bar here, tail here, at support here, at support yesterday’s low – if anything, the only thing I would do at the 11 low is buy. But I did not do that. I would not sell down here.
卖出收盘价，但尾部是内包线、十字线。这看起来并不那么看跌。我不会在这里卖出。我仍然会卖出收盘价，但我们正处于60分钟均线和昨日低点附近。我认为我们更有可能开始横盘或小幅上涨。K线并不很大，所以并不那么看跌，这里有犹豫K线，尾部在支撑位，在昨日低点支撑位——如果有什么动作，我在11号低点唯一会做的是买入。但我没有这样做。我不会在这里卖出做空。
We’re hesitating at support instead of collapsing through support, so increases the chances we’re going to bounce.
我们在支撑位犹豫，而不是跌破支撑位，这增加了我们反弹的可能性。
Limit order trading
限价单交易
Okay, we just learned something right there. Limit order bulls. Bulls who did buy the 11 low, made money. You look at that and say “Wait a minute, it’s a bear trend. It’s a Sell the Close bear trend, but the bulls made money” – that’s right. Something’s wrong with the bear trend.
好吧，我们刚刚学到了东西。限价单多头。买入11号低点的多头赚了钱。你看了之后会说：“等一下，这是空头趋势。这是卖出收盘价的空头趋势，但多头赚了钱”——没错。空头趋势出了问题。
Parabolic wedge, 6, 8. Decent buy signal bar. Opening reversal, 60 minute moving average support, low of yesterday’s support. Okay swing buy, taking a chance it’s the low of the day, but not yet high probability. The math is okay to take that buy, but more likely minor reversal, which means you’ll go up 5 bars, maybe 10 bars, and then test back down to the low close, the 10 close, the 11 close. I would not sell the 12 high even though we’re still Always In Short, but I think a lot of the Always-In bears get out above 12 because this is a reasonable candidate for the low of the day.
抛物线楔形，6号、8号K线。不错的买入信号K线。开盘反转，60分钟均线支撑，昨日低点支撑。好的波段买入，冒险认为这是当日的低点，但概率还不高。从数学上来说，可以接受这个买入，但更可能是小幅反转，这意味着你会上涨5根K线，可能10根K线，然后回落测试到低点收盘，即10号、11号K线的收盘价。我不会卖出12号K线的高点，尽管我们仍然处于始终持空状态，但我认为很多始终持空的空头会在12号K线上方离场，因为这是当日低点的合理候选。
The bears, they’re hoping that we get a failed breakout above the top of the triangle and then a reversal down. This is really not a very high probability buy, but I think it makes sense. Already 6 ticks, so a lot of traders scalped out, for 1 point. Bulls want to close above 20, hoping for a gap and a measured move up. Like I said, I’ve been saying, I think we would close the gap below the 7 low and get back up into the upper range.
空头希望我们在三角形顶部上方出现突破失败，然后反转下跌。这确实不是一个高概率的买入机会，但我认为这有道理。已经有6个点了，所以很多交易者已经平仓获利1个点。多头希望收盘价高于20，希望出现缺口和等距上涨。正如我所说，我认为我们会在7号低点下方填补缺口，然后回到上方区间。
For the bears. Tail, break out above the triangle, a wedge, three pushes up, 1, 2, 3. Any time you have a double top, you have two pushes up. If you break above the double top and the breakout fails, you have three pushes up – 1, 2, and then 3. So for the bears, this is a wedge short. Bulls want the gap and then the measured move up.
对于空头来说，尾部突破三角形上方，形成楔形，三次向上推动，1、2、3。任何时候出现双顶，就意味着有两次向上推动。如果突破双顶上方但突破失败，则出现三次向上推动——1、2，然后是3。所以对于空头来说，这是一个楔形做空的机会。多头希望出现缺口，然后进行等距上涨。
This is the neckline of the double top, so the measured move would be from the double top neckline up here. The fight here is the close. Will it close above the double top, will it close above the moving average, will it close on its high? Or will it close on its low, close below the moving average, have a bear body closing on its low, in which case it would be a reasonable short. We’re in a trading range, chances are it’s going to be confusing and it’s going to disappoint the bulls and the bears.
这是双顶的颈线位，所以等距上涨的起点是双顶颈线位到这里。这里的争夺焦点是收盘价。它会收在双顶上方吗？会收在均线上方吗？会收在最高点吗？还是会收在最低点，收在均线下方，形成空头实体并收在最低点，在这种情况下做空是合理的。我们处于交易区间内，很可能会出现混乱，让多头和空头都感到失望。
So maybe close at the 20 high, making traders wonder, is this breakout going to lead to a measured move or not? Is this breakout going to reverse? Is it going to be like 7-8? To sell it, I would like to see at least a 2 tick bear body closing on its low for a wedge bear flag. To buy it, I think the buys already over – you could buy at the market because we’re back at the 21 high. But it looks to me like most bulls scalped when we rallied 6 ticks, which is exactly what it had to do for the bulls to make 1 point.
所以可能收在20号高点，让交易者怀疑，这次突破是否会导致等距上涨？这次突破是否会反转？会不会像7-8号那样？要卖出，我希望至少看到一个2个点空头实体，收在最低点，形成楔形空头旗形。要买入，我认为买入机会已经结束——你可以在市场价买入，因为我们回到了21号高点。但我觉得大多数多头在反弹6个点时就进行了剥头皮，这正是多头需要做的事情才能赚1个点。
Bull body, good for the bulls. Close below the double top high, good for the bears. Probably Always In Long at this point. We’ve got a bull close and a reasonable buy setup. But I do not think this is going to result in a big bull trend. I think it’s a bull leg in a trading range. The market’s looking for the top of the range.
多头实体，对多头有利。收盘价低于双顶高点，对空头有利。目前可能始终持多。我们有一个多头收盘和一个合理的买入机会。但我不认为这会导致一个大的多头趋势。我认为这只是交易区间内的一个多头推进段。市场正在寻找区间顶部。
Questions
问题
Trades, would you talk about your trades today. I honestly don’t remember most of what I did. I took one or two scalps in here. I forgot what I did. I sold that, I got out breakeven there, I think, and I think I sold somewhere up there for a scalp. I sold I think twice on the way down with a limit order, and I think I sold again down here, I bought for a scalp. I remember buying again somewhere in here. I sold here. I bought a couple times on the way up here.
交易方面，你能谈谈你今天的交易吗？老实说，我不记得我做了什么。我在这里做了1、2次短线交易。我忘了我做了什么。我卖出了那笔，我认为我在那里平仓了，然后我认为我在上面某个位置卖出了一次短线。我认为在下跌过程中用限价单卖出了两次，然后我认为我在这里又卖出了一次，买入了一次短线。我记得我在这里又买入了一次。我在这里卖出。我在上升过程中买入了几次。
And then through here, usually I would sell here, but there’s so little room to the target, the 34 low, I only took buys in here, and I only took one or two in here. And then I was out trading the euro versus the dollar and gold today. I often trade bonds, but I did not do that today. And today I did not do any swing trades in the Emini.
然后在这里，我通常会卖出，但到目标位34号低点的空间太小，我只在这里进行了买入交易，而且只进行了1、2次。然后我今天还交易了欧元兑美元和黄金。我经常交易债券，但今天没有这样做。今天我没有在迷你标普上进行任何波段交易。
Question: “In general, is buying or selling the close of large 5-minute reversal spikes occurring near the beginning of the trading day the right thing to do? Example: is shorting the bar 8 close today, using a wide stop the right thing to do?”
问题：“一般来说，在交易日初期买入或卖出大型5分钟反转尖顶的收盘价是否是正确的做法？例如，今天做空8号K线的收盘价，并使用宽止损，是否是正确的做法？”
In general everyone is looking to do that. If you look at volume here, you would be shorting with 80,000 of your closest friends. So 80,000 contracts traded on bar 8. I never look at volume. You just know the bar is big and the context is good, so you know the volume is big. Just looking at the bar, if you asked me, “Al, how big is the volume on bar 8?”, I’d say “I don’t know, probably at least 20,000 contracts.” I would not have guessed 80,000, but it was 80,000.
通常每个人都在寻找这样做的机会。如果你看看这里的成交量，你会发现你和8万个最亲密的朋友一起做空。所以8号K线有8万份合约成交。我从不看成交量。你只知道K线很大，背景很好，所以你知道成交量很大。只看K线的话，如果你问我：“Al，8号K线的成交量有多大？”我会说：“我不知道，可能至少有2万份合约。”我不会猜到8万份，但实际是8万份。
So in general, I’m looking for setups and I’m looking for trapped traders. I was afraid that 7 was a trap, the 7 bar bull micro channel in a tight trading range, and it looked like a sucker buy for me. It looks like a buy setup for weak longs. I’m willing to buy, but not there. If it goes higher, then I’ll buy. I’ll buy after I see this.
所以一般来说，我在寻找交易机会，也在寻找被套的交易者。我担心7号K线是一个陷阱，它是一个窄幅交易区间内的多头微型通道，看起来像是一个愚蠢的买入机会。这看起来像是为弱多头设计的买入机会。我愿意买入，但不是这里。如果价格上涨，我就会买入。我会在看到这个之后再买入。
You say, “Al, there’s not much left to the trade if you wait until there.” I say that’s true, but the probability of making money is 60% or 70%. So not buying here, and then I see this and say “Oh, those bulls are in trouble, and we’ll probably get a measured move down.” So I’m looking to sell. It’s a high probability trade. At least 60%, maybe 70%.
你说：“Al，如果你等到那时，交易机会就不多了。”我说这是真的，但赚钱的概率是60%或70%。所以我不在这里买入，然后我看到这个情况，说：“哦，这些多头有麻烦了，我们可能会看到一个等距的下跌。”所以我准备卖出。这是一个高概率的交易机会。至少60%，可能70%。
You can make money selling on the close of 8, the close of 9, and the next target down is far enough away for at least a scalp. Those strong breakouts, 28, probably buying the close – at a minimum you’re going to make a scalp. It turns out if you bought it and held, you would’ve made a swing profit on the way up.
你可以在8号K线收盘、9号K线收盘时卖出获利，下一个目标位足够远，至少可以进行一次短线交易。那些强劲的突破，比如28号K线，可能是在收盘时买入——至少你会获得一次短线利润。结果证明，如果你买入并持有，你会在上涨过程中获得波段利润。
End of day review
日终复盘
Do we go higher from here? I still think the odds are we’re going to a new ultimate high. I also think that September will close below its open. I think then that we’re going up near-term, but by the end of the month I think we’ll trade down. Okay, hope everybody has a good night.
我们会从这里继续上涨吗？我仍然认为我们有很大的概率会创出新的历史高点。我也认为9月份的收盘价会低于开盘价。我认为我们在短期内会上涨，但到月底时，我认为我们会下跌。好了，希望大家有个美好的夜晚。
Ask Al trading room extracts
向Al提问的交易室摘录
This extract will be the last of the weekly Ask Al posts for the time being. Priority is on production of trading course videos. The current 99 Ask Al articles contain a wide range of price action and general trading topics, and future Ask Al posts will look to develop even more variety. One example is putting up of live trade videos after Al has established same in the trading room in the near future. Another could be member webinar replays.
这段文字将是目前“每周问Al”系列帖子的最后一篇。目前，我们的重点是制作交易课程视频。目前的99篇“问Al”文章涵盖了广泛的价格行为和交易主题，未来的“问Al”帖子将进一步丰富内容多样性。例如，在Al不久的将来在交易室中完成实时交易演示后，我们会发布相关视频。另一个例子是会员网络研讨会的重播。
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