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原文链接: https://www.brookstradingcourse.com/ask-al/upsizing-advice-profitable-trader/ 生成时间: 2026-09-02 15:10
Upsizing advice process and default sizes BPA trading room Q&A: August 1, 2016
加仓建议流程及默认加仓规模：BPA交易室问答，2016年8月1日
Question: For a trader that is consistently profitable and now working on increasing size, can you offer any advice on a good process, and defaults for sizing up in your experience?
问题：对于一个持续盈利的交易者来说，现在正努力增加仓位规模，您能否根据您的经验，提供一些关于加仓的良好流程和默认设置的建议？
Make $1 million a year?
一年赚100万美元？
Yeah. I can tell you that it’s real easy to do it too fast. Everyone wants to make $1 million a year, $5 million a year. Once you start trading well with one contract, three contracts, five contracts, you think, “Oh, why not 500 contracts?” And there are many factors involved. The biggest one is emotion . Once you start making pretty good money, you have to decide quality of life. You only get one life. You know, I’m 64 so a lot closer to the end than to the beginning, and I want to enjoy my days. So it’s simply less stressful not trading huge position sizes anymore, so I trade what I need to trade and I make enough money, and I’m happy.
是的。我可以告诉你，做得太快是很容易的。每个人都想一年赚100万美元，一年赚500万美元。一旦你开始用一个合约、三个合约、五个合约交易得很好，你就会想：“哦，为什么不500个合约呢？” 其中涉及许多因素。最大的因素是情绪。一旦你开始赚到不少钱，你就必须决定生活质量。你只有一次生命。你知道，我今年64岁了，离终点比起点更近，我想享受我的日子。所以，不再交易巨大仓位，压力会小很多，我只交易我需要交易的量，赚足够的钱，我就很开心。
Take a chance if right time
如果时机合适，就把握机会
If you’re 30 years old and you’re really hungry and aggressive, and you still have a lot of fight and you don’t have a lot of personal responsibilities — kids, wife, stuff like that — you can take a chance. I told my three daughters — I have two lawyers in San Francisco on an MBA and LA. I tell all of them “Take chances. Do things that — you don’t have kids yet; just take chances. Go out and do anything extreme. Follow your heart and just do anything that you really think is exciting and risky. Now’s the time to do high-risk things.” But once you have kids, you have to reduce your risk. You need consistent, dependable income.
如果你30岁，充满饥饿感和进取心，仍然有斗志，而且没有太多个人责任——比如孩子、妻子之类的——你可以把握机会。我告诉我三个女儿——我有两个律师，一个在旧金山读MBA，一个在洛杉矶。我告诉她们：“把握机会。做一些事情——你们还没有孩子；就把握机会吧。出去做任何极端的事情。跟随你的心，去做任何你认为刺激和冒险的事情。现在是做高风险事情的时候了。” 但一旦你有了孩子，你就必须降低风险。你需要稳定、可靠的收入。
Always a second act
永远有第二次机会
So I’m not sure where you are in your life, but if you’re young enough so that you can always make it back if you screw up — if you screw up 10 times — I also tell my kids, “I don’t care; go out and screw up 10 times; go out and screw up 20 times. I don’t care. You’re young enough you got a really good set of personal qualities; you’re very smart; you work very hard. There’s always a second act. No matter how many times you fail, you’ll always be able to get back and do well.”
所以我不确定你现在处于人生的哪个阶段，但如果你足够年轻，即使你搞砸了——即使你搞砸了10次——你也能东山再起，我也告诉我的孩子们：“我不在乎；出去搞砸10次；出去搞砸20次。我不在乎。你足够年轻，拥有非常好的个人品质；你很聪明；你工作非常努力。永远有第二次机会。无论你失败多少次，你总是能够东山再起，做得很好。”
Don’t worry about failure
别担心失败
So if you’re a reasonably confident person with good personal habits, I just don’t worry about failure. However, realistically if you start trading too big, you start — at least subconsciously — being aware of the concept “risk of ruin”, okay? You can get ruined. You just know that Black Swan events happen, and statistically it’s very unlikely that you’re going to lose 100 trades in a row.
所以，如果你是一个自信且有良好习惯的人，我就不担心失败了。然而，现实情况是，如果你开始交易的仓位过大，你就会开始——至少在潜意识里——意识到“破产风险”这个概念，对吧？你可能会破产。你知道黑天鹅事件会发生，但从统计学上讲，你连续亏损100笔交易的可能性非常小。
But guess what? It’s theoretically possible, and there’s some magical number of trades that if you lose in a row, even a small amount, your account is going to disappear. And without specifically thinking, “Oh, I’d better watch out for that risk of ruin that Al talks about.” You’re not specifically thinking about it, but your personal radar tells you, “Uh-oh, this is dangerous.” And what that radar is saying — although it’s not using the words “risk of ruin” — it’s telling you that you’re at risk of dying as a trader. That your account might die if you risk too big, if you trade too big.
但猜猜怎么着？理论上这是可能的，而且存在一个神奇的交易次数，如果你连续亏损，即使是小额亏损，你的账户也会消失。你不会特意去想：“哦，我最好小心点，别让自己陷入阿尔所说的破产风险中。”你没有特意去想这件事，但你的个人雷达会告诉你：“哦，这很危险。”虽然雷达没有用“破产风险”这个词，但它告诉你，你作为交易者面临着死亡的风险。如果你冒的风险太大，交易的仓位太大，你的账户可能会死亡。
Survive—Trade smaller than you think
生存——比你想象的更小仓位交易
So however big you think you should trade, I would probably trade a third of it or a quarter of it. All of us could trade much, much larger, but you don’t want to put yourself at risk of ruination and you also have to have fun. You have to find the balance that’s right for you, and it changes. It’s changed with me at different times in my life. And your priorities change. And now I’m in a very satisfying period in my life and I have a lot more flexibility over what I can do.
所以，无论你认为应该交易多大的仓位，我可能只会交易三分之一或四分之一的仓位。我们所有人都可以交易更大的仓位，但你不想让自己陷入破产的风险，你也需要享受交易。你需要找到适合自己的平衡点，这个平衡点会变化。在我生命的不同时期，它也随着我而变化。你的优先事项也会变化。现在，我正处于人生中一个非常满意的阶段，我在可以做的事情上有了更多的灵活性。
Question—part 2
问题——第二部分
It’s probably not directly answering your question, okay. More of your question: Did you size up slowly and size down if you take a few losses? Can you continue to work up like in a bull’s channel, stair step up. Increase to five contracts, lose some, get down to two contracts. Increase to 10 contracts, lose some, go back to three contracts.
这可能没有直接回答你的问题，好吧。你还有更多问题：如果你遭遇几次亏损，你会慢慢加仓还是减仓？你能像在多头通道中一样，阶梯式地上升吗？增加到五份合约，亏损一些，降到两份合约。增加到10份合约，亏损一些，回到三份合约。
Don’t change size too often
不要太频繁地改变仓位大小
A lot of traders do that. I personally would not be changing the sizes all that much that often. So if I were trading three contracts profitably, I would wait several months and then go up to five. Because you don’t want to be trading three contracts for two weeks and then up to five for two days, and then take a big hit, and then go back down to two contracts. You just start spending all of your time thinking about what’s the right position size for today instead of thinking, “Is this a good trade to take?” So, if you change your position size three times in a month, you’re changing too often.
很多交易者都会这样做。但我个人不会那么频繁地改变仓位规模。如果我用三个合约交易并获利，我会等几个月再增加到五个合约。因为你不希望用三个合约交易两周，然后增加到五个合约交易两天，然后遭受重大损失，再回到两个合约。你会开始把所有时间都花在思考“今天的仓位规模是否合适”上，而不是思考“这是否是一笔好交易？”所以，如果你在一个月内改变仓位规模三次，那就太频繁了。
Al Brooks
Al Brooks
Information on Al’s Online day trading room
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